Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = MA Nickname = River Hawks Coach = Ed StephensonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.5568848 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Boston U. Patriot (12- 5, 95.2) 8-18 218 H Harvard Ivy ( 6- 7, 93.7) 9-14 225 H Siena Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 88.4) 18-13 228 H Fairfield Colonial ( 5- 9, 91.9) 7- 8 304 A Monmouth Metro Atlanti (14- 4, 92.1) 6- 7 311 A Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 85.0) 13- 6 315 A UMass Colonial ( 7- 8, 93.7) 8-10 318 H Binghamton America East (11- 5, 93.9) 8-15 321 H Providence Big East (10- 7, 94.5) 4-11 325 A Albany America East (15- 3, 99.9) 11-21 401 A UMBC America East ( 6- 8, 92.2) 6-10 408 H Vermont America East ( 5- 8, 91.3) 11-12 411 A Dartmouth Ivy ( 2-11, 87.4) 8-14 415 A Hartford America East ( 6- 8, 91.9) 12-11 421 H Stony Brook America East ( 7- 7, 92.9) 11-12 o 429 A NJIT Independent ( 1-14, 84.0) 12- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Boston U. 8-18 -10 -4 -- -5.20 218 H Harvard 9-14 -5 -3 -1.67 225 H Siena 18-13 5 1 + 3.06 228 H Fairfield 7- 8 -1 -1 0.51 304 A Monmouth 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.38 311 A Manhattan 13- 6 7 3 + 3.27 315 A UMass 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.97 318 H Binghamton 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.45 321 H Providence 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.87 325 A Albany 11-21 -10 -11 0.00 401 A UMBC 6-10 -4 -3 -0.59 408 H Vermont 11-12 -1 0 -0.07 411 A Dartmouth 8-14 -6 1 --- -7.37 415 A Hartford 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.11 421 H Stony Brook 11-12 o -1 -2 1.49 429 A NJIT 12- 5 7 4 + 2.28UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 411 A Dartmouth 8-14 -6 1 --- -7.37 211 H Boston U. 8-18 -10 -4 -- -5.20 318 H Binghamton 8-15 -7 -3 - -3.45 321 H Providence 4-11 -7 -4 - -2.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Hartford 12-11 1 -3 ++ 4.11 225 H Siena 18-13 5 1 + 3.06 304 A Monmouth 6- 7 -1 -3 + 2.38 311 A Manhattan 13- 6 7 3 + 3.27 315 A UMass 8-10 -2 -4 + 2.97 429 A NJIT 12- 5 7 4 + 2.28/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.56 Local Power Rank........... 55 Local SOS Rating......... 80.88 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.40 Local RPI Rank............. 60 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 67 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 68 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 2.3