U. of DC                      5 - 7


 
   Conf = East Coast                 Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Firebirds              Coach  = Rodger Colbert          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   84.7702484    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 N Ohio Valley            Great Midwest ( 4-10, 72.4)    17-18   
 225 A Hampton                Independent   ( 1- 7, 73.2)    19-15   
 301 A Georgian Court         Independent   ( 5-11, 73.1)    18-11   
 304 H St. Thomas Aquinas     East Coast    ( 5-10, 74.6)    17- 9   
 311 A NYIT                   East Coast    (14- 3, 86.9)     4-25   
 318 H Mercy                  East Coast    (12- 5, 84.5)    12-14   
 325 A Post                   Independent   ( 5- 8, 75.8)    12-15   
 401 H Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 8- 5, 84.9)     6-19   
 408 A Molloy                 East Coast    ( 9- 5, 83.0)     6-15   
 415 H Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 4-12, 78.9)    10- 8   
 422 H LIU Post               East Coast    ( 8- 8, 83.6)    15-16  o
 429 A Dominican C.           East Coast    ( 6- 9, 73.8)    12- 6   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 N Ohio Valley            17-18      -1     4    --    -5.37
   225 A Hampton                19-15       4     2          n/a  
   301 A Georgian Court         18-11       7     2    ++     4.13
   304 H St. Thomas Aquinas     17- 9       8     2    ++     5.06
   311 A NYIT                    4-25     -21   -10           0.00
   318 H Mercy                  12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.89
   325 A Post                   12-15      -3     0    -     -3.11
   401 H Chestnut Hill           6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.64
   408 A Molloy                  6-15      -9    -7          -1.97
   415 H Roberts Wesleyan       10- 8       2    -1    +      3.31
   422 H LIU Post               15-16  o   -1    -6    ++     5.06
   429 A Dominican C.           12- 6       6     2    +      3.89


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Hampton                19-15   
   221 N Ohio Valley            17-18      -1     4    --    -5.37
   225 A Hampton                19-15   
   225 A Hampton                19-15   
   325 A Post                   12-15      -3     0    -     -3.11
   401 H Chestnut Hill           6-19     -13    -7    -     -2.64


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Hampton                19-15   
   225 A Hampton                19-15   
   301 A Georgian Court         18-11       7     2    ++     4.13
   304 H St. Thomas Aquinas     17- 9       8     2    ++     5.06
   318 H Mercy                  12-14      -2    -6    ++     4.89
   422 H LIU Post               15-16  o   -1    -6    ++     5.06
   225 A Hampton                19-15   
   415 H Roberts Wesleyan       10- 8       2    -1    +      3.31
   429 A Dominican C.           12- 6       6     2    +      3.89




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.77 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.48 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    64
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    89
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3


  
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