Conf = Great Midwest              Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Griffins               Coach  = Brian Novotny           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.6210175    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Limestone              Carolinas     (21- 1, 91.5)     9-10   
 225 H Mercy                  East Coast    (12- 5, 84.5)    14-10   
 304 H Alderson Broaddus      Great Midwest ( 1-11, 74.9)    25- 4   
 311 N Florida Tech           Sunshine Stat ( 8- 7, 86.7)     3- 5   
 318 H Lynn                   Sunshine Stat ( 6- 7, 84.7)    13-12  o
 325 H Mercyhurst             Great Midwest (12- 3, 87.6)     7-11   
 328 H Davis & Elkins         Great Midwest ( 4-10, 72.4)    19- 2   
 401 A Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 4-12, 78.9)     8- 4   
 408 A Lake Erie              Great Midwest ( 7- 8, 83.0)     9-10   
 411 H Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 4-12, 79.4)     9- 3   
 415 A NYIT                   East Coast    (14- 3, 86.9)     9- 8   
 422 H Indianapolis           Independent   ( 7- 6, 86.1)    11- 9   
 425 A Ohio Valley            Great Midwest ( 4-10, 72.4)    15- 4   
 429 A Wheeling Jesuit        Independent   ( 6- 8, 83.4)    14-10   
 504 N Lake Erie              Great Midwest ( 7- 8, 83.0)    17- 6   
 506 A Mercyhurst             Great Midwest (12- 3, 87.6)    15-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Limestone               9-10      -1    -4    +      3.74
   225 H Mercy                  14-10       4     3           0.04
   304 H Alderson Broaddus      25- 4      21    13           0.00
   311 N Florida Tech            3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.94
   318 H Lynn                   13-12  o    1     3    -     -2.75
   325 H Mercyhurst              7-11      -4     0    --    -4.85
   328 H Davis & Elkins         19- 2      17    16           0.00
   401 A Roberts Wesleyan        8- 4       4     7    -     -3.92
   408 A Lake Erie               9-10      -1     3    --    -4.78
   411 H Walsh                   9- 3       6     9    -     -3.00
   415 A NYIT                    9- 8       1     0           1.11
   422 H Indianapolis           11- 9       2     2          -0.34
   425 A Ohio Valley            15- 4      11    14           0.00
   429 A Wheeling Jesuit        14-10       4     3           0.64
   504 N Lake Erie              17- 6      11     4    ++     5.41
   506 A Mercyhurst             15-10       5     0    ++     5.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Mercyhurst              7-11      -4     0    --    -4.85
   408 A Lake Erie               9-10      -1     3    --    -4.78
   311 N Florida Tech            3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.94
   318 H Lynn                   13-12  o    1     3    -     -2.75
   401 A Roberts Wesleyan        8- 4       4     7    -     -3.92
   411 H Walsh                   9- 3       6     9    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 N Lake Erie              17- 6      11     4    ++     5.41
   506 A Mercyhurst             15-10       5     0    ++     5.78
   218 A Limestone               9-10      -1    -4    +      3.74
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.62 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.69 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   21.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/