Conf = Empire 8                   Region = North        State = NJ
   Nickname = Ducks                  Coach  = Gene Peluso             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2537537    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-11, 74.5)    14- 2   
 225 H Endicott               CCC           (10- 8, 82.0)    14-11   
 301 H Montclair State        Skyline       (11- 8, 84.0)    12- 9   
 304 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (13- 6, 90.0)     6-19   
 308 A Springfield            NEWMAC        (12- 5, 85.6)    12-17   
 316 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 5- 9, 75.9)    19- 4   
 318 N Haverford              Centennial    ( 7- 8, 83.3)    11- 6   
 321 A Williams               NESCAC        ( 7- 9, 84.7)     8-12   
 325 A Alfred                 Empire 8      ( 6- 7, 78.4)    21- 9   
 401 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (13- 4, 88.6)    11-10  o
 408 A Houghton               Empire 8      ( 2-14, 61.0)    20- 0   
 412 H Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 8- 7, 78.3)    12- 7   
 415 H St. John Fisher        Empire 8      ( 8- 8, 79.3)    12- 6   
 419 H Utica                  Empire 8      ( 9- 6, 76.5)    21- 7   
 422 A Elmira                 Empire 8      ( 1-12, 65.0)    20- 1   
 425 H Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (14- 6, 89.4)     7- 5   
 429 A Nazareth               Empire 8      (11- 9, 84.6)     7-11   
 503 N Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 8- 7, 78.3)    14- 4   
 506 H Nazareth               Empire 8      (11- 9, 84.6)    10-11  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Arcadia                14- 2      12     9           0.60
   225 H Endicott               14-11       3     4          -1.62
   301 H Montclair State        12- 9       3     2           0.44
   304 H Tufts                   6-19     -13    -3    ---   -6.63
   308 A Springfield            12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.33
   316 H Lycoming               19- 4      15    10           0.00
   318 N Haverford              11- 6       5     1    +      3.04
   321 A Williams                8-12      -4     0    -     -3.22
   325 A Alfred                 21- 9      12     5    ++     4.45
   401 H Ithaca                 11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.01
   408 A Houghton               20- 0      20    22           0.00
   412 H Hartwick               12- 7       5     8    -     -3.34
   415 H St. John Fisher        12- 6       6     7          -1.30
   419 H Utica                  21- 7      14    10           0.00
   422 A Elmira                 20- 1      19    18           0.00
   425 H Stevenson               7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.80
   429 A Nazareth                7-11      -4     0    -     -3.27
   503 N Hartwick               14- 4      10     7    +      3.00
   506 H Nazareth               10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.96

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Tufts                   6-19     -13    -3    ---   -6.63
   308 A Springfield            12-17      -5    -1    -     -3.33
   321 A Williams                8-12      -4     0    -     -3.22
   412 H Hartwick               12- 7       5     8    -     -3.34
   429 A Nazareth                7-11      -4     0    -     -3.27
   506 H Nazareth               10-11  o   -1     1    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Alfred                 21- 9      12     5    ++     4.45
   425 H Stevenson               7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.80
   318 N Haverford              11- 6       5     1    +      3.04
   401 H Ithaca                 11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.01
   503 N Hartwick               14- 4      10     7    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.25 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.51 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    48
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   197
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/