Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Andrew McMinnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.7916260 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 204 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 4, 96.9) 11-15 211 H Bellarmine SoCon ( 4- 9, 86.0) 10- 8 218 A Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 85.0) 18- 8 225 H Detroit Mercy Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, 88.5) 15- 6 305 A High Point SoCon ( 4-10, 90.1) 9- 7 307 A Georgetown Big East ( 4-10, 93.3) 7-12 311 H Marquette Big East ( 8- 8, 95.1) 7-14 318 A Sacred Heart Northeast ( 9- 6, 91.8) 12- 9 325 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 4-10, 88.7) 11-10 o 401 A Saint Joseph's Northeast ( 5- 9, 91.1) 13- 7 408 H Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 86.4) 17- 6 411 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 7, 95.2) 7-13 418 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 90.7) 12- 7 422 A Bryant Northeast (11- 8, 94.1) 5-13 429 H Hobart Northeast ( 9- 7, 92.7) 16-18 504 N Bryant Northeast (11- 8, 94.1) 3-12PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 204 A Penn State 11-15 -4 -5 1.93 211 H Bellarmine 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.59 218 A Manhattan 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.04 225 H Detroit Mercy 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.85 305 A High Point 9- 7 2 0 1.14 307 A Georgetown 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.68 311 H Marquette 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.50 318 A Sacred Heart 12- 9 3 0 + 3.86 325 H Mount St. Mary's 11-10 o 1 3 - -2.90 401 A Saint Joseph's 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.12 408 H Wagner 17- 6 11 6 + 3.78 411 A Virginia 7-13 -6 -4 -1.77 418 H Canisius 12- 7 5 1 + 3.13 422 A Bryant 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.85 429 H Hobart 16-18 -2 0 -1.89 504 N Bryant 3-12 -9 -2 --- -6.66UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 504 N Bryant 3-12 -9 -2 --- -6.66 211 H Bellarmine 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.59 311 H Marquette 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.50 422 A Bryant 5-13 -8 -3 -- -4.85 307 A Georgetown 7-12 -5 -2 - -2.68 325 H Mount St. Mary's 11-10 o 1 3 - -2.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Saint Joseph's 13- 7 6 0 +++ 6.12 218 A Manhattan 18- 8 10 5 ++ 4.04 225 H Detroit Mercy 15- 6 9 4 ++ 4.85 318 A Sacred Heart 12- 9 3 0 + 3.86 408 H Wagner 17- 6 11 6 + 3.78 418 H Canisius 12- 7 5 1 + 3.13/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.79 Local Power Rank........... 47 Local SOS Rating......... 79.73 Local SOS Rank............. 58 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 42 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 60 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 43 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.3