Conf = Northeast                  Region = Northeast    State = PA
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Andrew McMinn           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7916260    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 A Penn State             Big Ten       (12- 4, 96.9)    11-15   
 211 H Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 4- 9, 86.0)    10- 8   
 218 A Manhattan              Metro Atlanti ( 3-11, 85.0)    18- 8   
 225 H Detroit Mercy          Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, 88.5)    15- 6   
 305 A High Point             SoCon         ( 4-10, 90.1)     9- 7   
 307 A Georgetown             Big East      ( 4-10, 93.3)     7-12   
 311 H Marquette              Big East      ( 8- 8, 95.1)     7-14   
 318 A Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 9- 6, 91.8)    12- 9   
 325 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 4-10, 88.7)    11-10  o
 401 A Saint Joseph's         Northeast     ( 5- 9, 91.1)    13- 7   
 408 H Wagner                 Northeast     ( 6- 9, 86.4)    17- 6   
 411 A Virginia               ACC           ( 8- 7, 95.2)     7-13   
 418 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 90.7)    12- 7   
 422 A Bryant                 Northeast     (11- 8, 94.1)     5-13   
 429 H Hobart                 Northeast     ( 9- 7, 92.7)    16-18   
 504 N Bryant                 Northeast     (11- 8, 94.1)     3-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 A Penn State             11-15      -4    -5           1.93
   211 H Bellarmine             10- 8       2     6    --    -4.59
   218 A Manhattan              18- 8      10     5    ++     4.04
   225 H Detroit Mercy          15- 6       9     4    ++     4.85
   305 A High Point              9- 7       2     0           1.14
   307 A Georgetown              7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.68
   311 H Marquette               7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.50
   318 A Sacred Heart           12- 9       3     0    +      3.86
   325 H Mount St. Mary's       11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.90
   401 A Saint Joseph's         13- 7       6     0    +++    6.12
   408 H Wagner                 17- 6      11     6    +      3.78
   411 A Virginia                7-13      -6    -4          -1.77
   418 H Canisius               12- 7       5     1    +      3.13
   422 A Bryant                  5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.85
   429 H Hobart                 16-18      -2     0          -1.89
   504 N Bryant                  3-12      -9    -2    ---   -6.66

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 N Bryant                  3-12      -9    -2    ---   -6.66
   211 H Bellarmine             10- 8       2     6    --    -4.59
   311 H Marquette               7-14      -7    -2    --    -4.50
   422 A Bryant                  5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.85
   307 A Georgetown              7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.68
   325 H Mount St. Mary's       11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Saint Joseph's         13- 7       6     0    +++    6.12
   218 A Manhattan              18- 8      10     5    ++     4.04
   225 H Detroit Mercy          15- 6       9     4    ++     4.85
   318 A Sacred Heart           12- 9       3     0    +      3.86
   408 H Wagner                 17- 6      11     6    +      3.78
   418 H Canisius               12- 7       5     1    +      3.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.79 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.73 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    42
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    60
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    43
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/