Conf = SoCon Region = Southeast State = VA Nickname = Spiders Coach = Dan ChemottiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.0096741 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 211 H Fairfield Colonial ( 5- 9, 91.9) 15- 3 218 H UMBC America East ( 6- 8, 92.2) 10- 5 221 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 4-10, 88.7) 10- 7 225 H Marquette Big East ( 8- 8, 95.1) 9- 2 305 H Duke ACC (13- 5, 99.4) 8- 9 311 H VMI SoCon ( 2-12, 84.0) 13- 8 313 A North Carolina ACC ( 8- 8, 96.8) 6- 5 318 A Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-11, 89.0) 13- 6 325 A High Point SoCon ( 4-10, 90.1) 12- 4 401 H Virginia ACC ( 8- 7, 95.2) 7- 8 408 H Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 87.8) 12- 9 415 A Bellarmine SoCon ( 4- 9, 86.0) 13- 6 422 A Air Force SoCon (12- 6, 95.0) 7- 9 429 H Furman SoCon ( 7- 8, 93.0) 13- 4 504 H Furman SoCon ( 7- 8, 93.0) 13- 6 506 H Air Force SoCon (12- 6, 95.0) 6- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Fairfield 15- 3 12 4 ++ 5.06 218 H UMBC 10- 5 5 4 0.33 221 A Mount St. Mary's 10- 7 3 6 - -3.49 225 H Marquette 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.29 305 H Duke 8- 9 -1 -2 1.53 311 H VMI 13- 8 5 12 -- -5.00 313 A North Carolina 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.63 318 A Jacksonville 13- 6 7 6 0.85 325 A High Point 12- 4 8 5 + 2.92 401 H Virginia 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.61 408 H Mercer 12- 9 3 8 -- -6.00 415 A Bellarmine 13- 6 7 9 - -2.18 422 A Air Force 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.16 429 H Furman 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.22 504 H Furman 13- 6 7 3 + 3.22 506 H Air Force 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.79UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H VMI 13- 8 5 12 -- -5.00 408 H Mercer 12- 9 3 8 -- -6.00 506 H Air Force 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.79 221 A Mount St. Mary's 10- 7 3 6 - -3.49 401 H Virginia 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.61 415 A Bellarmine 13- 6 7 9 - -2.18 422 A Air Force 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H Fairfield 15- 3 12 4 ++ 5.06 225 H Marquette 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.29 429 H Furman 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.22 313 A North Carolina 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.63 325 A High Point 12- 4 8 5 + 2.92 504 H Furman 13- 6 7 3 + 3.22/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.01 Local Power Rank........... 14 Local SOS Rating......... 81.53 Local SOS Rank............. 52 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 23 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 59 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3