Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6178894    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 211 A Tusculum               South Atlanti (11- 4, 84.1)     6-16   
 218 H Mars Hill              South Atlanti ( 6- 7, 78.9)    10-13   
 222 A Catawba                South Atlanti ( 8- 8, 79.1)    11-13   
 225 A Brevard                South Atlanti ( 2-14, 75.1)     9- 8   
 304 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (12- 5, 87.7)     5-18   
 306 H Drew                   Landmark      ( 8- 7, 77.6)     6- 9   
 308 H Walsh                  Great Midwest ( 4-12, 79.4)    11- 8   
 318 A Chowan                 Carolinas     ( 1-12, 68.5)    23-11   
 322 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 5-11, 71.3)    16-11   
 325 A Greensboro             SEILC         ( 3-13, 69.2)     8- 6   
 401 H Limestone              Carolinas     (21- 1, 91.5)     8-24   
 408 H Emmanuel (GA)          Carolinas     ( 1-12, 64.8)    20- 7   
 411 H Methodist              SEILC         (15- 3, 78.9)    11-10   
 415 A North Greenville       Carolinas     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     8-18   
 419 A Mount Olive            Carolinas     (11- 5, 84.8)     9-18   
 425 A North Greenville       Carolinas     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     9-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   211 A Tusculum                6-16     -10    -8          -1.71
   218 H Mars Hill              10-13      -3    -1          -1.50
   222 A Catawba                11-13      -2    -3           1.33
   225 A Brevard                 9- 8       1     0           0.25
   304 A Belmont Abbey           5-18     -13   -11           0.00
   306 H Drew                    6- 9      -3     0          n/a  
   308 H Walsh                  11- 8       3    -1    ++     5.00
   318 A Chowan                 23-11      12     7    +      2.68
   322 H Lees-McRae             16-11       5     6          -1.09
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6       2     6          n/a  
   401 H Limestone               8-24     -16   -14           0.00
   408 H Emmanuel (GA)          20- 7      13    12           0.00
   411 H Methodist              11-10       1    -1          n/a  
   415 A North Greenville        8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.09
   419 A Mount Olive             9-18      -9    -8          -0.03
   425 A North Greenville        9-15      -6    -5          -0.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Drew                    6- 9   
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6   
   411 H Methodist              11-10   
   306 H Drew                    6- 9   
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6   
   411 H Methodist              11-10   
   415 A North Greenville        8-18     -10    -5    --    -4.09
   306 H Drew                    6- 9   
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6   
   411 H Methodist              11-10   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Drew                    6- 9   
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6   
   411 H Methodist              11-10   
   306 H Drew                    6- 9   
   308 H Walsh                  11- 8       3    -1    ++     5.00
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6   
   411 H Methodist              11-10   
   306 H Drew                    6- 9   
   318 A Chowan                 23-11      12     7    +      2.68
   325 A Greensboro              8- 6   
   411 H Methodist              11-10   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.62 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.59 Local SOS Rank.............    49
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    62
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    67
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/