Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Dan Mahar               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.9766083    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Misericordia           MAC-Freedom   (13- 4, 80.0)     8- 9  o
 301 A Vassar                 Liberty       (11- 5, 84.1)     3-10   
 306 A Dallas                 Independent   ( 2-12, 55.6)    19- 2   
 309 A Southwestern           Independent   ( 9- 7, 76.1)    13- 6   
 318 A Fairleigh Dickinson    MAC-Freedom   ( 7-10, 75.7)    11- 8   
 321 A Ithaca                 Empire 8      (13- 4, 88.6)     6-12   
 329 H Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 8- 7, 78.3)    11-12   
 401 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (17- 3, 88.0)    10-11  o
 404 H Rensselaer             Liberty       (10- 5, 86.9)     7-19   
 408 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4- 9, 75.7)    10-11  o
 412 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (12- 6, 84.5)     6- 7   
 415 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 6- 9, 79.3)     7- 8   
 422 A Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 8- 6, 81.4)     7-10   
 429 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 9- 6, 80.7)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Misericordia            8- 9  o   -1     0          -1.35
   301 A Vassar                  3-10      -7    -6          -0.49
   306 A Dallas                 19- 2      17    22           0.00
   309 A Southwestern           13- 6       7     1    ++     5.43
   318 A Fairleigh Dickinson    11- 8       3     1           1.11
   321 A Ithaca                  6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   329 H Hartwick               11-12      -1     2    -     -3.07
   401 H Cortland               10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.65
   404 H Rensselaer              7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.44
   408 H Potsdam                10-11  o   -1     4    --    -5.57
   412 H Plattsburgh             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.21
   415 A Oswego                  7- 8      -1    -1           0.71
   422 A Brockport               7-10      -3    -3           0.77
   429 A Geneseo                 5-10      -5    -3          -1.90

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Potsdam                10-11  o   -1     4    --    -5.57
   329 H Hartwick               11-12      -1     2    -     -3.07
   404 H Rensselaer              7-19     -12    -6    -     -3.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Cortland               10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.65
   309 A Southwestern           13- 6       7     1    ++     5.43
   321 A Ithaca                  6-12      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   412 H Plattsburgh             6- 7      -1    -4    +      3.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.98 Local Power Rank...........    85
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.62 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.46 Local RPI Rank.............   150
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   167
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   196
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/