Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Trojans                Coach  = Mike Murphy             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.7719193    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Catawba                South Atlanti ( 8- 8, 79.1)    16-10   
 222 H Coker                  South Atlanti ( 4-10, 74.5)    19- 5   
 225 H Florida Tech           Sunshine Stat ( 8- 7, 86.7)    13-11   
 304 N Mercyhurst             Great Midwest (12- 3, 87.6)     8- 7  o
 308 A Lake Erie              Great Midwest ( 7- 8, 83.0)     5- 7   
 312 N Rollins                Sunshine Stat ( 7- 7, 84.6)     7- 6   
 318 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (12- 5, 87.7)     4-16   
 325 H North Greenville       Carolinas     ( 9- 9, 81.7)     5- 4  o
 329 H Chowan                 Carolinas     ( 1-12, 68.5)    22- 6   
 401 A Emmanuel (GA)          Carolinas     ( 1-12, 64.8)    22- 4   
 408 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 5-11, 71.3)    18- 7   
 415 H Limestone              Carolinas     (21- 1, 91.5)     6-10   
 419 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 7- 9, 76.6)    18- 9   
 422 A Queens U. of Charlotte South Atlanti (10- 7, 84.1)    10-11   
 425 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 5-11, 71.3)    24- 5   
 428 N Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (12- 5, 87.7)     6- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Catawba                16-10       6     4           1.17
   222 H Coker                  19- 5      14    11           0.00
   225 H Florida Tech           13-11       2    -1    +      3.10
   304 N Mercyhurst              8- 7  o    1    -2    +      3.81
   308 A Lake Erie               5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.93
   312 N Rollins                 7- 6       1     0           0.87
   318 A Belmont Abbey           4-16     -12    -3    ---   -6.24
   325 H North Greenville        5- 4  o    1     3    -     -2.87
   329 H Chowan                 22- 6      16    17           0.00
   401 A Emmanuel (GA)          22- 4      18    19           0.00
   408 H Lees-McRae             18- 7      11    14           0.00
   415 H Limestone               6-10      -4    -5           1.96
   419 H Pfeiffer               18- 9       9     8           0.03
   422 A Queens U. of Charlotte 10-11      -1     0          -0.90
   425 H Lees-McRae             24- 5      19    14           0.00
   428 N Belmont Abbey           6- 7      -1    -2           1.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A Belmont Abbey           4-16     -12    -3    ---   -6.24
   308 A Lake Erie               5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.93
   325 H North Greenville        5- 4  o    1     3    -     -2.87

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Florida Tech           13-11       2    -1    +      3.10
   304 N Mercyhurst              8- 7  o    1    -2    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.77 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.35 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    62
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/