Conf = Ivy                        Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.8043976    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 A Penn State             Big Ten       (12- 4, 96.9)    10-20   
 225 A Hobart                 Northeast     ( 9- 7, 92.7)     8-16   
 305 H Albany                 America East  (15- 3, 99.9)     6-17   
 311 N Virginia               ACC           ( 8- 7, 95.2)    18-19  o
 318 A Yale                   Ivy           (10- 6, 96.9)     8-17   
 321 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 5- 9, 91.6)    15- 6   
 325 H Penn                   Ivy           ( 7- 6, 94.7)     9-10   
 401 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 2-11, 87.4)    14- 5   
 408 A Harvard                Ivy           ( 6- 7, 93.7)    12- 9   
 411 A Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 96.7)     8-15   
 415 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 7, 92.6)    16-11   
 422 A Brown                  Ivy           (10- 6, 95.2)    10-13   
 429 H Princeton              Ivy           ( 9- 6, 96.0)    18-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 A Penn State             10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.08
   225 A Hobart                  8-16      -8     0    ---   -7.28
   305 H Albany                  6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.72
   311 N Virginia               18-19  o   -1    -2           1.40
   318 A Yale                    8-17      -9    -4    --    -4.06
   321 H Colgate                15- 6       9     2    +++    6.94
   325 H Penn                    9-10      -1    -1           0.09
   401 H Dartmouth              14- 5       9     6    +      2.75
   408 A Harvard                12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.71
   411 A Syracuse                8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.28
   415 H Lehigh                 16-11       5     1    +      3.94
   422 A Brown                  10-13      -3    -3           0.23
   429 H Princeton              18-17       1    -2    +      3.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Hobart                  8-16      -8     0    ---   -7.28
   218 A Penn State             10-20     -10    -4    --    -5.08
   318 A Yale                    8-17      -9    -4    --    -4.06
   305 H Albany                  6-17     -11    -6    -     -3.72
   411 A Syracuse                8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.28

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Colgate                15- 6       9     2    +++    6.94
   408 A Harvard                12- 9       3    -1    ++     4.71
   401 H Dartmouth              14- 5       9     6    +      2.75
   415 H Lehigh                 16-11       5     1    +      3.94
   429 H Princeton              18-17       1    -2    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.80 Local Power Rank...........    35
 Local SOS Rating......... 87.14 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/