Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = MA
   Nickname = Terriers               Coach  = Ryan Polley             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.1679230    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 204 A Providence             Big East      (10- 7, 94.5)     8- 7 2o
 211 A UMass Lowell           America East  ( 4-12, 89.6)    18- 8   
 218 A Hartford               America East  ( 6- 8, 91.9)    12- 5   
 225 A Navy                   Patriot       ( 6- 8, 93.0)     8- 7   
 228 H Bryant                 Northeast     (11- 8, 94.1)    12- 9   
 304 H Air Force              SoCon         (12- 6, 95.0)     8- 6   
 313 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 5- 9, 91.6)    18- 7   
 318 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 5- 8, 92.0)     6-12   
 321 H Harvard                Ivy           ( 6- 7, 93.7)    13- 8   
 325 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 2-12, 86.9)    15- 7   
 401 A Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 7, 92.6)     6-10   
 408 A Army                   Patriot       (12- 4, 95.3)    10-11   
 415 H Loyola                 Patriot       (10- 6, 97.9)    12-11  o
 421 H Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 5-10, 91.4)    12-11  o
 425 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 7, 92.6)    10- 4   
 428 N Army                   Patriot       (12- 4, 95.3)     7-10   
 507 N Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 99.4)     8-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   204 A Providence              8- 7 2o    1     0           1.15
   211 A UMass Lowell           18- 8      10     4    ++     5.20
   218 A Hartford               12- 5       7     2    ++     4.50
   225 A Navy                    8- 7       1     1          -0.31
   228 H Bryant                 12- 9       3     1           1.15
   304 H Air Force               8- 6       2     0           1.05
   313 A Colgate                18- 7      11     2    +++    7.21
   318 H Bucknell                6-12      -6     4    ---  -10.00
   321 H Harvard                13- 8       5     2    +      2.72
   325 H Lafayette              15- 7       8     9          -1.05
   401 A Lehigh                  6-10      -4     1    --    -5.80
   408 A Army                   10-11      -1     0          -0.04
   415 H Loyola                 12-11  o    1    -1    +      2.95
   421 H Holy Cross             12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.63
   425 H Lehigh                 10- 4       6     3    +      2.57
   428 N Army                    7-10      -3     0    -     -2.85
   507 N Duke                    8-18     -10    -4    --    -5.82

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Bucknell                6-12      -6     4    ---  -10.00
   401 A Lehigh                  6-10      -4     1    --    -5.80
   507 N Duke                    8-18     -10    -4    --    -5.82
   421 H Holy Cross             12-11  o    1     4    -     -3.63
   428 N Army                    7-10      -3     0    -     -2.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Colgate                18- 7      11     2    +++    7.21
   211 A UMass Lowell           18- 8      10     4    ++     5.20
   218 A Hartford               12- 5       7     2    ++     4.50
   321 H Harvard                13- 8       5     2    +      2.72
   415 H Loyola                 12-11  o    1    -1    +      2.95
   425 H Lehigh                 10- 4       6     3    +      2.57
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.17 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.30 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/