Conf = SoCon Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Eric SeremetGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.0346527 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 205 A Duke ACC (13- 5, 99.4) 11-10 211 A Denver Big East (13- 4, 99.4) 6-14 218 H Marist Metro Atlanti (10- 6, 91.6) 4-10 225 N Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 90.7) 15-10 226 N Cleveland State Independent ( 5- 9, 86.2) 16- 2 304 A Boston U. Patriot (12- 5, 95.2) 6- 8 311 H Detroit Mercy Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, 88.5) 13- 8 318 A Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 87.8) 14- 6 325 H Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-11, 89.0) 10- 9 o 328 A Marquette Big East ( 8- 8, 95.1) 6- 7 401 H Bellarmine SoCon ( 4- 9, 86.0) 20- 2 408 A Furman SoCon ( 7- 8, 93.0) 7- 8 415 A VMI SoCon ( 2-12, 84.0) 14- 4 422 H Richmond SoCon (12- 4, 96.0) 9- 7 429 A High Point SoCon ( 4-10, 90.1) 16-11 504 N Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-11, 89.0) 11- 8 506 A Richmond SoCon (12- 4, 96.0) 9- 6 513 A Denver Big East (13- 4, 99.4) 10-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Duke 11-10 1 -5 +++ 6.13 211 A Denver 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.85 218 H Marist 4-10 -6 4 --- -10.21 225 N Canisius 15-10 5 4 0.70 226 N Cleveland State 16- 2 14 8 1.19 304 A Boston U. 6- 8 -2 0 -1.05 311 H Detroit Mercy 13- 8 5 7 - -2.40 318 A Mercer 14- 6 8 6 1.61 325 H Jacksonville 10- 9 o 1 6 -- -5.80 328 A Marquette 6- 7 -1 0 -0.11 401 H Bellarmine 20- 2 18 9 0.17 408 A Furman 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.18 415 A VMI 14- 4 10 10 0.00 422 H Richmond 9- 7 2 0 + 2.16 429 A High Point 16-11 5 4 0.90 504 N Jacksonville 11- 8 3 5 - -2.99 506 A Richmond 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.79 513 A Denver 10-17 -7 -5 -1.85UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 218 H Marist 4-10 -6 4 --- -10.21 325 H Jacksonville 10- 9 o 1 6 -- -5.80 211 A Denver 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.85 311 H Detroit Mercy 13- 8 5 7 - -2.40 408 A Furman 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.18 504 N Jacksonville 11- 8 3 5 - -2.99OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Duke 11-10 1 -5 +++ 6.13 506 A Richmond 9- 6 3 -1 ++ 4.79 422 H Richmond 9- 7 2 0 + 2.16/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 95.03 Local Power Rank........... 24 Local SOS Rating......... 81.65 Local SOS Rank............. 48 Local RPI Rating......... 0.53 Local RPI Rank............. 24 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 21 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 18.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3