2016 NCAA Men's Division III UPSETS ARC
Upsets are listed in order of magnitude based on score and power rating. An upset occurs when a team of lower power rating beats a team of higher power rating. Home advantage is not included. An upset requires the Power Ratings of the two teams to be at least two points apart.
Upsets may disappear as the season progresses because as power ratings are adjusted, the difference in ratings between two teams may fall below two points. No Underdog (UT) Favorite (FT) Score UT FT PR PR 1 Neumann vs Bard 9 7 62.6 71.9 2 Oglethorpe vs Millsaps 13 12 58.0 66.8 3 Southwestern vs Kean 10 9 71.0 79.6 4 Swarthmore vs Dickinson 7 5 82.5 88.6 5 Millsaps vs Hope 12 11 66.8 72.7 6 Augustana vs Aurora 12 11 77.0 82.9 7 York at Salisbury 10 9 89.2 94.9 8 Transylvania vs Centre 5 3 72.5 78.0 9 Emmanuel Alfred 13 10 76.0 81.4 10 Stevenson vs Tufts 11 10 89.0 94.0 11 Bridgewater at Virginia Wesle 12 11 76.3 81.0 12 Kean vs Elizabethtown 12 11 79.6 84.3 13 DePauw vs Oberlin 9 8 73.2 77.8 14 Merchant Marin at Catholic 14 13 78.3 82.7 15 Wilmington vs Ohio Northern 10 9 67.8 72.2 16 Bates vs Tufts 19 18 89.8 94.0 17 Western Connec vs Salem State 13 12 67.7 72.0 18 Lycoming at Gwynedd Mercy 6 5 75.4 79.6 19 Wesley vs Marymount 11 9 72.9 77.1 20 Mount Union vs John Carroll 9 8 74.5 78.7 21 Western New En Amherst 10 8 87.2 91.2 22 Greensboro vs Randolph 9 8 72.3 76.3 23 Becker at Mitchell 11 10 66.4 70.4 24 Salve Regina Clarkson 13 12 77.8 81.6 25 Southern Maine vs Plymouth State 11 6 72.3 76.1 26 Haverford vs Dickinson 9 8 84.8 88.6 27 Kalamazoo at MSoE 5 4 64.2 67.9 28 Fairleigh Dick at Misericordia 10 9 75.9 79.6 29 Springfield at Middlebury 11 10 86.0 89.5 30 Albion vs Aurora 14 13 79.4 82.9 31 Amherst at RIT 17 14 91.2 94.7 32 Carthage at Illinois Wesle 14 10 76.9 80.3 33 Carthage vs Illinois Wesle 13 8 76.9 80.3 34 Oswego vs Potsdam 10 8 77.4 80.8 35 Hampden-Sydney vs Lynchburg 13 9 84.6 87.9 36 Guilford Mary Washingto 8 6 79.8 83.0 37 Mount Union vs Oberlin 12 11 74.5 77.8 38 Rosemont vs Immaculata 9 4 69.6 72.8 39 Southern Virgi vs St. Mary's 17 16 77.0 80.2 40 Regis at Rivier 9 6 70.3 73.4 41 Williams at Amherst 11 10 88.2 91.2 42 Anna Maria vs Lyndon State 10 9 58.6 61.6 43 Potsdam at Brockport 11 8 80.8 83.8 44 Keene State at Bowdoin 13 12 86.6 89.6 45 Rosemont vs Hood 10 9 69.6 72.6 46 Skidmore vs Babson 16 10 80.8 83.8 47 Benedictine at Carthage 8 4 73.9 76.9 48 Castleton vs Plymouth State 11 8 73.2 76.1 49 Ithaca at RIT 18 16 91.8 94.7 50 Coast Guard vs Clark 8 7 77.6 80.4 51 Franklin & Mar vs Dickinson 12 10 85.8 88.6 52 Moravian vs King's 10 8 72.3 75.1 53 St. John Fishe at Alfred 9 7 78.6 81.4 54 Southern Maine vs Lasell 9 8 72.3 75.0 55 Keene State vs Rensselaer 14 12 86.6 89.3 56 Oswego at Oneonta 9 8 77.4 80.1 57 Hendrix vs Drew 7 5 73.2 75.8 58 Salem State vs Nichols 9 8 72.0 74.6 59 Marymount DeSales 12 11 77.1 79.7 60 Johnson & Wale at Curry 10 9 72.9 75.5 61 Regis vs Johnson & Wale 10 5 70.3 72.9 62 Wheaton at U. of New Engl 7 6 77.4 80.0 63 Lebanon Valley at Albright 9 8 78.0 80.6 64 Union vs Williams 12 11 85.7 88.2 65 Bryn Athyn vs Delaware Valle 10 8 74.0 76.5 66 Bethany vs Franciscan 17 16 59.2 61.7 67 Colorado Colle Babson 16 13 81.3 83.8 68 Rensselaer vs Ithaca 8 7 89.3 91.8 69 Otterbein at Wittenberg 13 12 78.1 80.5 70 Johnson & Wale vs UMass Boston 10 9 72.9 75.4 71 Alfred at Brockport 10 6 81.4 83.8 72 Virginia Wesle vs Widener 11 10 81.0 83.4 73 Shenandoah vs Delaware Valle 8 6 74.1 76.5 74 Hanover at Washington & J 11 10 69.0 71.3 75 Wheelock at Emerson 9 8 58.0 60.3 76 Roanoke vs Denison 8 7 87.3 89.6 77 Otterbein vs Wooster 14 9 78.1 80.3 78 Swarthmore vs Haverford 8 7 82.5 84.8 79 Dallas vs Oglethorpe 10 7 55.8 58.0 80 Stevenson vs Cabrini 7 4 89.0 91.2 81 Southwestern vs Hendrix 8 7 71.0 73.2 82 Millsaps vs Hanover 12 9 66.8 69.0 83 Wooster at Swarthmore 13 12 80.3 82.5 84 Nazareth at Stevens 17 15 87.1 89.2 85 Nazareth vs Cortland 13 9 87.1 89.2 86 SUNY Canton vs SUNY Poly 8 5 66.7 68.9 87 Gordon vs Nichols 11 10 72.5 74.6 88 Johnson & Wale vs Lasell 11 8 72.9 75.0 89 Benedictine vs Olivet 15 12 73.9 76.0 90 Hanover vs Southwestern 10 9 69.0 71.0 91 Thiel vs Transylvania 12 10 70.5 72.5 92 Methodist vs Bridgewater 10 8 74.3 76.3