Conf = Ivy                        Region = Northeast    State = CT
   Nickname = Bulldogs               Coach  = Andy Shay               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2588501    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A UMass Lowell           America East  ( 4-12, 85.9)    17- 7   
 227 H Maryland               Big Ten       (17- 3, 97.3)     8- 5   
 305 A Bryant                 Northeast     (10- 5, 93.5)    14- 4   
 308 H St. John's             Big East      ( 2-12, 87.5)    13- 8   
 312 A Fairfield              Colonial      ( 9- 8, 91.8)    10- 5   
 319 A Cornell                Ivy           ( 6- 7, 91.9)    15- 9   
 326 H Princeton              Ivy           ( 5- 8, 90.9)    11-10   
 402 H Penn                   Ivy           ( 8- 7, 92.7)    11-10  o
 405 H Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 2-14, 86.6)    19- 3   
 409 A Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 1-13, 85.0)    15- 5   
 416 A Brown                  Ivy           (16- 3, 99.9)    12-14   
 423 H Albany                 America East  (12- 4, 95.0)    13-14  o
 430 H Harvard                Ivy           ( 8- 8, 94.5)     9- 8   
 506 N Penn                   Ivy           ( 8- 7, 92.7)     7- 6   
 508 N Harvard                Ivy           ( 8- 8, 94.5)    14- 9   
 515 H Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 94.7)    10-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A UMass Lowell           17- 7      10     9           0.79
   227 H Maryland                8- 5       3     0    +      2.86
   305 A Bryant                 14- 4      10     1    +++    8.36
   308 H St. John's             13- 8       5     9    --    -4.92
   312 A Fairfield              10- 5       5     3           1.68
   319 A Cornell                15- 9       6     3    +      2.79
   326 H Princeton              11-10       1     6    --    -5.47
   402 H Penn                   11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.69
   405 H Sacred Heart           19- 3      16    10           0.00
   409 A Dartmouth              15- 5      10    10           0.00
   416 A Brown                  12-14      -2    -4    +      2.78
   423 H Albany                 13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.37
   430 H Harvard                 9- 8       1     2          -1.87
   506 N Penn                    7- 6       1     3    -     -2.55
   508 N Harvard                14- 9       5     1    +      3.27
   515 H Navy                   10-13      -3     2    --    -5.67

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H St. John's             13- 8       5     9    --    -4.92
   326 H Princeton              11-10       1     6    --    -5.47
   515 H Navy                   10-13      -3     2    --    -5.67
   402 H Penn                   11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.69
   423 H Albany                 13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.37
   506 N Penn                    7- 6       1     3    -     -2.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Bryant                 14- 4      10     1    +++    8.36
   227 H Maryland                8- 5       3     0    +      2.86
   319 A Cornell                15- 9       6     3    +      2.79
   416 A Brown                  12-14      -2    -4    +      2.78
   508 N Harvard                14- 9       5     1    +      3.27
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.26 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.81 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     8
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/