Conf = MAC-Commonwlth Region = South State = MD Nickname = Mustangs Coach = Paul CantabeneGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.9528961 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Alvernia MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-14, 68.7) 29- 1 227 H RIT Liberty (18- 2, 94.7) 9-18 305 H Western New England CCC (15- 4, 87.2) 8- 9 309 H Salisbury Capital (23- 1, 94.9) 6-13 312 A Cortland SUNYAC (14- 6, 89.2) 13- 7 318 H Cabrini CSAC (15- 5, 91.2) 7- 4 319 H Dickinson Centennial ( 8- 7, 88.6) 10-13 322 H Tufts NESCAC (20- 3, 94.0) 11-10 326 A Hood MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 72.6) 20- 9 402 A Lynchburg Old Dominion (12- 9, 87.9) 10- 9 408 H York Capital (18- 4, 89.2) 10- 8 409 H Arcadia MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-12, 73.0) 23- 2 413 A Lycoming MAC-Commonwlt ( 4-11, 75.4) 18- 4 416 A Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6) 16-13 420 H Messiah MAC-Commonwlt (11- 7, 82.3) 11- 6 423 A Lebanon Valley MAC-Commonwlt (11- 8, 78.0) 13- 5 430 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 83.4) 7- 6 2o 504 H Albright MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6) 21- 4 507 H Messiah MAC-Commonwlt (11- 7, 82.3) 10- 3 511 H Cabrini CSAC (15- 5, 91.2) 10-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Alvernia 29- 1 28 21 0.00 227 H RIT 9-18 -9 -4 -- -4.39 305 H Western New England 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.91 309 H Salisbury 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.17 312 A Cortland 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.38 318 H Cabrini 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.14 319 H Dickinson 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.47 322 H Tufts 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.92 326 A Hood 20- 9 11 15 0.00 402 A Lynchburg 10- 9 1 0 1.09 408 H York 10- 8 2 0 1.16 409 H Arcadia 23- 2 21 17 0.00 413 A Lycoming 18- 4 14 12 0.00 416 A Albright 16-13 3 7 -- -4.27 420 H Messiah 11- 6 5 7 - -2.79 423 A Lebanon Valley 13- 5 8 9 -1.84 430 H Widener 7- 6 2o 1 6 -- -5.62 504 H Albright 21- 4 17 9 0.50 507 H Messiah 10- 3 7 7 -0.79 511 H Cabrini 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.86UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H RIT 9-18 -9 -4 -- -4.39 319 H Dickinson 10-13 -3 1 -- -4.47 416 A Albright 16-13 3 7 -- -4.27 430 H Widener 7- 6 2o 1 6 -- -5.62 305 H Western New England 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.91 309 H Salisbury 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.17 420 H Messiah 11- 6 5 7 - -2.79 511 H Cabrini 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.86OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Cortland 13- 7 6 -1 +++ 7.38 318 H Cabrini 7- 4 3 -1 ++ 4.14 322 H Tufts 11-10 1 -3 ++ 4.92/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 88.95 Local Power Rank........... 19 Local SOS Rating......... 66.14 Local SOS Rank............. 23 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 16 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 16.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 17.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3