Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.1954346 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Michigan Big Ten ( 3-10, 89.2) 20-10 213 H Furman SoCon ( 2-11, 87.0) 14- 6 220 H Hofstra Colonial ( 9- 6, 92.3) 5-10 228 A Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 7, 94.8) 15-11 305 H Denver Big East (13- 3, 96.5) 12-13 o 312 A Massachusetts Colonial ( 4- 9, 92.3) 9-14 314 A Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 83.6) 18- 2 319 H Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 91.2) 15- 6 326 A Maryland Big Ten (17- 3, 97.3) 8-11 401 A Duke ACC (11- 8, 96.3) 17-16 o 410 H Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 93.1) 16- 8 416 A Syracuse ACC (12- 5, 96.6) 7-13 423 H Notre Dame ACC (11- 4, 96.4) 17-15 429 N Syracuse ACC (12- 5, 96.6) 7-10 514 A Marquette Big East (11- 5, 93.9) 10- 9 522 N Notre Dame ACC (11- 4, 96.4) 13- 9 528 N Loyola Patriot (14- 4, 95.0) 18-13 530 N Maryland Big Ten (17- 3, 97.3) 14-13 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Michigan 20-10 10 8 1.91 213 H Furman 14- 6 8 10 - -2.00 220 H Hofstra 5-10 -5 5 --- -10.00 228 A Johns Hopkins 15-11 4 0 + 3.77 305 H Denver 12-13 o -1 0 -1.87 312 A Massachusetts 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.77 314 A Manhattan 18- 2 16 11 0.00 319 H Richmond 15- 6 9 6 + 2.90 326 A Maryland 8-11 -3 -2 -0.79 401 A Duke 17-16 o 1 -1 + 2.21 410 H Virginia 16- 8 8 4 + 3.76 416 A Syracuse 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.48 423 H Notre Dame 17-15 2 0 1.02 429 N Syracuse 7-10 -3 0 - -2.63 514 A Marquette 10- 9 1 1 -0.18 522 N Notre Dame 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.16 528 N Loyola 18-13 5 1 + 3.79 530 N Maryland 14-13 o 1 -1 + 2.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Hofstra 5-10 -5 5 --- -10.00 312 A Massachusetts 9-14 -5 2 --- -7.77 416 A Syracuse 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.48 213 H Furman 14- 6 8 10 - -2.00 429 N Syracuse 7-10 -3 0 - -2.63OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 522 N Notre Dame 13- 9 4 0 ++ 4.16 228 A Johns Hopkins 15-11 4 0 + 3.77 319 H Richmond 15- 6 9 6 + 2.90 401 A Duke 17-16 o 1 -1 + 2.21 410 H Virginia 16- 8 8 4 + 3.76 528 N Loyola 18-13 5 1 + 3.79 530 N Maryland 14-13 o 1 -1 + 2.06/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.20 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 85.10 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 7.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating. 90.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3