Conf = America East Region = Northeast State = MA Nickname = River Hawks Coach = Ed StephensonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 85.9008408 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 A Boston U. Patriot ( 8- 7, 90.6) 5- 8 220 H Yale Ivy (13- 3, 96.3) 7-17 227 A Siena Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 86.2) 7-11 301 A Fairfield Colonial ( 9- 8, 91.8) 10-12 305 H Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-10, 85.7) 12- 9 312 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 83.6) 5- 8 315 A Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 84.3) 12-11 319 H Hartford America East (11- 7, 91.1) 8- 9 3o 322 A Providence Big East ( 7- 9, 90.8) 11-15 326 A Vermont America East ( 9- 8, 91.0) 9-11 402 H Albany America East (12- 4, 95.0) 9-16 409 A Binghamton America East ( 4-10, 88.5) 5-16 416 A Stony Brook America East (12- 4, 94.9) 7-15 419 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 1-13, 85.0) 11-10 424 H UMBC America East ( 4-10, 88.5) 8- 9 o 430 H NJIT Independent ( 1-14, 81.3) 7- 6 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 A Boston U. 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.82 220 H Yale 7-17 -10 -9 -0.79 227 A Siena 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.54 301 A Fairfield 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 5.04 305 H Jacksonville 12- 9 3 1 1.63 312 H Manhattan 5- 8 -3 3 --- -6.49 315 A Wagner 12-11 1 0 0.55 319 H Hartford 8- 9 3o -1 -4 + 3.03 322 A Providence 11-15 -4 -6 + 2.06 326 A Vermont 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.26 402 H Albany 9-16 -7 -7 0.99 409 A Binghamton 5-16 -11 -3 --- -6.28 416 A Stony Brook 7-15 -8 -10 + 2.00 419 H Dartmouth 11-10 1 2 -1.06 424 H UMBC 8- 9 o -1 -1 0.44 430 H NJIT 7- 6 o 1 5 -- -4.76UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Manhattan 5- 8 -3 3 --- -6.49 409 A Binghamton 5-16 -11 -3 --- -6.28 430 H NJIT 7- 6 o 1 5 -- -4.76 227 A Siena 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.54OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Fairfield 10-12 -2 -7 ++ 5.04 326 A Vermont 9-11 -2 -6 ++ 4.26 212 A Boston U. 5- 8 -3 -5 + 2.82 319 H Hartford 8- 9 3o -1 -4 + 3.03 322 A Providence 11-15 -4 -6 + 2.06 416 A Stony Brook 7-15 -8 -10 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 85.90 Local Power Rank........... 63 Local SOS Rating......... 75.10 Local SOS Rank............. 60 Local RPI Rating......... 0.38 Local RPI Rank............. 63 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 64 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 65 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 4-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -7.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -4.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3