Conf = East Coast                 Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Firebirds              Coach  = Scott Urick             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.0226746    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 H Post                   Independent   ( 6- 8, 77.2)    10-19   
 304 H Dominican C.           East Coast    ( 3-12, 70.4)     8- 9  o
 312 A Saint Thomas Aquinas   East Coast    ( 0-12, 69.5)    13- 7   
 316 A Alderson Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 5-10, 75.6)    16-12   
 319 H NYIT                   East Coast    (13- 5, 86.5)    10-20   
 326 A Mercy                  East Coast    ( 9- 6, 81.6)    12-16   
 402 H Dowling                East Coast    (10- 5, 84.0)     7-13   
 413 N Georgian Court         Independent   ( 2-13, 69.6)    13- 8   
 416 H Molloy                 East Coast    (10- 5, 82.1)    10-16   
 423 A Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 3-13, 75.0)    13- 8   
 426 A Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 6- 7, 79.6)     7-13   
 430 A LIU Post               East Coast    (12- 4, 85.3)     3-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Post                   10-19      -9    -1    ---   -7.79
   304 H Dominican C.            8- 9  o   -1     5    ---   -6.56
   312 A Saint Thomas Aquinas   13- 7       6     4           1.43
   316 A Alderson Broaddus      16-12       4    -1    ++     5.56
   319 H NYIT                   10-20     -10   -10           0.00
   326 A Mercy                  12-16      -4    -7    +      3.51
   402 H Dowling                 7-13      -6    -7           1.96
   413 N Georgian Court         13- 8       5     5          -0.47
   416 H Molloy                 10-16      -6    -6           0.12
   423 A Roberts Wesleyan       13- 8       5     0    ++     5.97
   426 A Chestnut Hill           7-13      -6    -5          -0.43
   430 A LIU Post                3-18     -15   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 H Post                   10-19      -9    -1    ---   -7.79
   304 H Dominican C.            8- 9  o   -1     5    ---   -6.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Alderson Broaddus      16-12       4    -1    ++     5.56
   423 A Roberts Wesleyan       13- 8       5     0    ++     5.97
   326 A Mercy                  12-16      -4    -7    +      3.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.02 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.34 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.40 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    60
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/