Conf = Capital Region = South State = MD Nickname = Sea Gulls Coach = Jim BerkmanGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.9000015 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 N Hampden-Sydney Old Dominion (13- 6, 84.6) 12- 7 217 H Lynchburg Old Dominion (12- 9, 87.9) 14-11 220 H Montclair State Skyline (13- 7, 86.9) 23- 7 227 A Gettysburg Centennial (17- 3, 90.8) 10- 7 306 N Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (13- 4, 90.5) 13-12 o 309 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (15- 5, 89.0) 13- 6 312 H St. Mary's Capital ( 4- 9, 80.2) 24- 7 316 H Washington College Centennial ( 7- 8, 83.9) 14- 2 319 A Mary Washington Capital ( 7-10, 83.0) 9- 4 325 H Roanoke Old Dominion (13- 5, 87.3) 14- 6 326 H Southern Virginia Capital ( 6-10, 77.0) 26- 7 330 H Wesley Capital ( 5-11, 72.9) 28- 4 402 A Marymount Capital ( 5- 9, 77.1) 28- 5 406 A Christopher Newport Capital (13- 5, 85.6) 19- 5 409 H Frostburg State Capital (15- 4, 86.8) 13- 3 413 A York Capital (18- 4, 89.2) 17- 5 416 H Cabrini CSAC (15- 5, 91.2) 17- 8 423 H Frostburg State Capital (15- 4, 86.8) 14- 6 430 H York Capital (18- 4, 89.2) 9-10 511 H Catholic Landmark (11- 7, 82.7) 19- 6 514 H Colorado College Independent (12- 5, 81.3) 16- 5 518 H Denison North Coast (18- 2, 89.6) 11-10 o 522 H Gettysburg Centennial (17- 3, 90.8) 14- 6 529 N Tufts NESCAC (20- 3, 94.0) 14-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 N Hampden-Sydney 12- 7 5 10 -- -5.00 217 H Lynchburg 14-11 3 8 -- -5.09 220 H Montclair State 23- 7 16 9 0.87 227 A Gettysburg 10- 7 3 2 0.06 306 N Ohio Wesleyan 13-12 o 1 4 - -3.38 309 A Stevenson 13- 6 7 4 + 2.17 312 H St. Mary's 24- 7 17 15 0.00 316 H Washington College 14- 2 12 12 0.00 319 A Mary Washington 9- 4 5 10 -- -5.00 325 H Roanoke 14- 6 8 8 -0.67 326 H Southern Virginia 26- 7 19 18 0.00 330 H Wesley 28- 4 24 23 0.00 402 A Marymount 28- 5 23 16 0.00 406 A Christopher Newport 19- 5 14 8 1.86 409 H Frostburg State 13- 3 10 9 0.78 413 A York 17- 5 12 4 ++ 5.44 416 H Cabrini 17- 8 9 4 ++ 4.19 423 H Frostburg State 14- 6 8 9 -1.22 430 H York 9-10 -1 6 --- -7.79 511 H Catholic 19- 6 13 13 0.00 514 H Colorado College 16- 5 11 14 0.00 518 H Denison 11-10 o 1 6 -- -5.37 522 H Gettysburg 14- 6 8 5 + 2.83 529 N Tufts 14-13 1 0 0.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 430 H York 9-10 -1 6 --- -7.79 206 N Hampden-Sydney 12- 7 5 10 -- -5.00 217 H Lynchburg 14-11 3 8 -- -5.09 319 A Mary Washington 9- 4 5 10 -- -5.00 518 H Denison 11-10 o 1 6 -- -5.37 306 N Ohio Wesleyan 13-12 o 1 4 - -3.38OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 413 A York 17- 5 12 4 ++ 5.44 416 H Cabrini 17- 8 9 4 ++ 4.19 309 A Stevenson 13- 6 7 4 + 2.17 522 H Gettysburg 14- 6 8 5 + 2.83/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.90 Local Power Rank........... 1 Local SOS Rating......... 68.59 Local SOS Rank............. 13 Local RPI Rating......... 0.74 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 37.0 Championship Rank ....... 1 Local Quality Win Rating.195.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 16.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 23- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 9.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3