Conf = Sunshine State             Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Chris Lewis             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9545059    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 H Young Harris           Independent   (10- 5, 75.9)    13- 7   
 212 A Coker                  South Atlanti ( 5-11, 73.1)    12-10   
 214 A Mount Olive            Carolinas     (13- 5, 82.7)     8-11   
 228 A Lindenwood             ECAC-II       (10- 6, 81.5)    11- 7   
 308 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 3-12, 65.9)    21- 3   
 310 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (12- 4, 82.7)    10-13   
 312 H Wingate                South Atlanti (10- 6, 78.5)     4-10   
 316 H Indianapolis           ECAC-II       ( 8- 6, 79.4)     9- 7   
 319 H Colorado Mesa          Rocky Mountai (13- 4, 80.3)     7- 5   
 326 A Saint Leo              Sunshine Stat ( 9- 5, 81.4)    12-10   
 402 H Lynn                   Sunshine Stat (10- 5, 81.6)     7-14   
 409 A Florida Southern       Sunshine Stat ( 9- 9, 79.6)    11-10   
 416 H Florida Tech           Sunshine Stat ( 6- 7, 78.0)    11- 9   
 422 H Tampa                  Sunshine Stat (15- 3, 85.5)     9-11   
 429 H Saint Leo              Sunshine Stat ( 9- 5, 81.4)    10- 9  o
 501 A Tampa                  Sunshine Stat (15- 3, 85.5)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 H Young Harris           13- 7       6     5           0.96
   212 A Coker                  12-10       2     5    -     -3.85
   214 A Mount Olive             8-11      -3    -3           0.75
   228 A Lindenwood             11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.52
   308 H Lees-McRae             21- 3      18    15           0.00
   310 H Belmont Abbey          10-13      -3    -1          -1.22
   312 H Wingate                 4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.42
   316 H Indianapolis            9- 7       2     1           0.51
   319 H Colorado Mesa           7- 5       2     0           1.38
   326 A Saint Leo              12-10       2    -2    ++     4.38
   402 H Lynn                    7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.29
   409 A Florida Southern       11-10       1     0           1.59
   416 H Florida Tech           11- 9       2     2          -0.88
   422 H Tampa                   9-11      -2    -4    +      2.60
   429 H Saint Leo              10- 9  o    1     0           1.43
   501 A Tampa                   7-16      -9    -6    -     -2.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Wingate                 4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.42
   402 H Lynn                    7-14      -7     0    ---   -6.29
   212 A Coker                  12-10       2     5    -     -3.85
   501 A Tampa                   7-16      -9    -6    -     -2.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Lindenwood             11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.52
   326 A Saint Leo              12-10       2    -2    ++     4.38
   422 H Tampa                   9-11      -2    -4    +      2.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.95 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.84 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    50
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
/