Conf = Northeast Region = Northeast State = PA Nickname = Colonials Coach = Andrew McMinnGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.9069214 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Penn State Big Ten ( 8- 7, 93.7) 7-20 213 A Bellarmine SoCon ( 6- 9, 89.5) 10-11 220 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 83.6) 19- 6 227 H High Point SoCon ( 9- 6, 90.2) 10-15 305 H Air Force SoCon (15- 3, 92.3) 10-11 308 A Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 87.7) 11-10 o 312 A Marquette Big East (11- 5, 93.9) 5-13 319 H Sacred Heart Northeast ( 2-14, 86.6) 12- 7 326 A Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6- 8, 88.8) 11- 9 402 H Bryant Northeast (10- 5, 93.5) 12-13 409 A Hobart Northeast (10- 7, 89.7) 10-16 419 A Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 4- 8, 87.0) 15- 6 423 H Saint Joseph's Northeast (12- 4, 92.8) 13- 8 430 A Wagner Northeast ( 6- 9, 84.3) 18-12 505 A Saint Joseph's Northeast (12- 4, 92.8) 7-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Penn State 7-20 -13 -4 -- -5.05 213 A Bellarmine 10-11 -1 0 -0.27 220 H Manhattan 19- 6 13 7 + 2.51 227 H High Point 10-15 -5 0 -- -5.84 305 H Air Force 10-11 -1 -1 0.22 308 A Mercer 11-10 o 1 1 -0.07 312 A Marquette 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.89 319 H Sacred Heart 12- 7 5 4 0.51 326 A Mount St. Mary's 11- 9 2 0 + 2.03 402 H Bryant 12-13 -1 -2 1.42 409 A Hobart 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.04 419 A Canisius 15- 6 9 1 +++ 7.20 423 H Saint Joseph's 13- 8 5 -1 +++ 6.72 430 A Wagner 18-12 6 4 1.54 505 A Saint Joseph's 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.99UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Penn State 7-20 -13 -4 -- -5.05 227 H High Point 10-15 -5 0 -- -5.84 409 A Hobart 10-16 -6 0 -- -5.04 312 A Marquette 5-13 -8 -5 - -2.89 505 A Saint Joseph's 7-14 -7 -4 - -2.99OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Canisius 15- 6 9 1 +++ 7.20 423 H Saint Joseph's 13- 8 5 -1 +++ 6.72 220 H Manhattan 19- 6 13 7 + 2.51 326 A Mount St. Mary's 11- 9 2 0 + 2.03/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.91 Local Power Rank........... 42 Local SOS Rating......... 76.49 Local SOS Rank............. 53 Local RPI Rating......... 0.49 Local RPI Rank............. 40 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 57 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 47 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3