GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.2385254 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Fairfield Colonial ( 9- 8, 91.8) 11-10 220 A UMBC America East ( 4-10, 88.5) 7- 5 223 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6- 8, 88.8) 9- 6 227 H Marquette Big East (11- 5, 93.9) 2- 7 305 A VMI SoCon ( 2-14, 79.8) 11- 6 307 A Duke ACC (11- 8, 96.3) 12-10 312 H Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-10, 85.7) 12- 6 319 A North Carolina ACC (12- 6, 96.2) 6-15 327 H High Point SoCon ( 9- 6, 90.2) 7- 3 402 H Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 93.1) 0- 9 409 A Furman SoCon ( 2-11, 87.0) 6- 5 3o 416 H Bellarmine SoCon ( 6- 9, 89.5) 10- 7 423 H Air Force SoCon (15- 3, 92.3) 8- 9 430 A Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 87.7) 12- 6 505 H High Point SoCon ( 9- 6, 90.2) 17- 6 507 H Air Force SoCon (15- 3, 92.3) 8- 9 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Fairfield 11-10 1 -1 + 2.70 220 A UMBC 7- 5 2 1 0.39 223 H Mount St. Mary's 9- 6 3 3 -0.59 227 H Marquette 2- 7 -5 -1 - -3.51 305 A VMI 11- 6 5 10 -- -5.00 307 A Duke 12-10 2 -6 +++ 8.16 312 H Jacksonville 12- 6 6 6 -0.71 319 A North Carolina 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.90 327 H High Point 7- 3 4 2 1.83 402 H Virginia 0- 9 -9 0 --- -8.29 409 A Furman 6- 5 3o 1 3 - -2.10 416 H Bellarmine 10- 7 3 2 0.11 423 H Air Force 8- 9 -1 0 -1.11 430 A Mercer 12- 6 6 2 + 3.60 505 H High Point 17- 6 11 2 +++ 7.83 507 H Air Force 8- 9 o -1 0 -1.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.24 Local Power Rank........... 33 Local SOS Rating......... 77.54 Local SOS Rank............. 47 Local RPI Rating......... 0.55 Local RPI Rank............. 21 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 56 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 22 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.3