Mercer                        5 - 8


 
   Conf = SoCon                      Region = Southeast    State = GA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Kyle Hannan             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.6940155    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 A Towson                 Colonial      (16- 3, 94.5)     2-11   
 220 H Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 2-10, 86.3)     9- 8   
 223 H Siena                  Metro Atlanti ( 3-10, 86.2)    12-11   
 229 A Duke                   ACC           (11- 8, 96.3)     9-19   
 308 H Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 7- 8, 89.9)    10-11  o
 312 A Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 6- 9, 89.5)     7-11   
 319 H VMI                    SoCon         ( 2-14, 79.8)    13- 2   
 326 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 6- 9, 92.0)     5-12   
 403 A High Point             SoCon         ( 9- 6, 90.2)    10-15   
 409 A Air Force              SoCon         (15- 3, 92.3)    13-15   
 416 H Furman                 SoCon         ( 2-11, 87.0)    12-10   
 423 A Jacksonville           SoCon         ( 3-10, 85.7)    12- 5   
 430 H Richmond               SoCon         (11- 5, 91.2)     6-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 A Towson                  2-11      -9    -7          -1.02
   220 H Detroit                 9- 8       1     2          -1.57
   223 H Siena                  12-11       1     2          -1.62
   229 A Duke                    9-19     -10    -9          -0.29
   308 H Robert Morris          10-11  o   -1    -1           0.07
   312 A Bellarmine              7-11      -4    -2          -1.06
   319 H VMI                    13- 2      11     9           0.95
   326 A Drexel                  5-12      -7    -5          -1.52
   403 A High Point             10-15      -5    -3          -1.33
   409 A Air Force              13-15      -2    -5    +      3.72
   416 H Furman                 12-10       2     1           0.16
   423 A Jacksonville           12- 5       7     0    +++    6.12
   430 H Richmond                6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.60


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Richmond                6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.60


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Jacksonville           12- 5       7     0    +++    6.12
   409 A Air Force              13-15      -2    -5    +      3.72




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.69 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.66 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    54
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    46
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    46
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0


  
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