Conf = Patriot Region = Southeast State = MD Nickname = Greyhounds Coach = Charley ToomeyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.9818878 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 93.1) 11- 4 220 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten ( 8- 7, 94.8) 9- 8 227 H Lafayette Patriot ( 3-11, 86.0) 12- 8 302 H Towson Colonial (16- 3, 94.5) 8-10 305 A Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 89.4) 10- 9 312 H Duke ACC (11- 8, 96.3) 6-15 319 A Navy Patriot (11- 5, 94.7) 9-10 323 A Georgetown Big East ( 2-12, 89.0) 10- 7 326 H Bucknell Patriot (10- 5, 93.3) 14- 3 403 A Colgate Patriot ( 4-10, 88.6) 12- 4 409 A Lehigh Patriot ( 6- 9, 90.7) 11-10 416 H Boston U. Patriot ( 8- 7, 90.6) 13-12 422 H Army Patriot (10- 7, 94.3) 12- 6 429 N Bucknell Patriot (10- 5, 93.3) 7- 6 2o 501 N Army Patriot (10- 7, 94.3) 14- 6 514 H Duke ACC (11- 8, 96.3) 16-11 522 N Towson Colonial (16- 3, 94.5) 10- 8 528 N North Carolina ACC (12- 6, 96.2) 13-18PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Virginia 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.26 220 H Johns Hopkins 9- 8 1 1 -0.31 227 H Lafayette 12- 8 4 10 --- -6.00 302 H Towson 8-10 -2 1 - -3.59 305 A Holy Cross 10- 9 1 4 - -3.40 312 H Duke 6-15 -9 0 --- -8.87 319 A Navy 9-10 -1 0 -0.10 323 A Georgetown 10- 7 3 4 -1.84 326 H Bucknell 14- 3 11 2 +++ 7.13 403 A Colgate 12- 4 8 5 + 2.79 409 A Lehigh 11-10 1 3 - -2.13 416 H Boston U. 13-12 1 5 -- -4.55 422 H Army 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.21 429 N Bucknell 7- 6 2o 1 1 -0.73 501 N Army 14- 6 8 0 +++ 7.35 514 H Duke 16-11 5 0 ++ 5.13 522 N Towson 10- 8 2 0 1.55 528 N North Carolina 13-18 -5 -1 - -3.79UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 227 H Lafayette 12- 8 4 10 --- -6.00 312 H Duke 6-15 -9 0 --- -8.87 416 H Boston U. 13-12 1 5 -- -4.55 302 H Towson 8-10 -2 1 - -3.59 305 A Holy Cross 10- 9 1 4 - -3.40 409 A Lehigh 11-10 1 3 - -2.13 528 N North Carolina 13-18 -5 -1 - -3.79OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Virginia 11- 4 7 0 +++ 6.26 326 H Bucknell 14- 3 11 2 +++ 7.13 501 N Army 14- 6 8 0 +++ 7.35 422 H Army 12- 6 6 1 ++ 4.21 514 H Duke 16-11 5 0 ++ 5.13 403 A Colgate 12- 4 8 5 + 2.79/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.98 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 83.06 Local SOS Rank............. 15 Local RPI Rating......... 0.61 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 16 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 8 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.9 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7