Conf = Centennial Region = South State = PA Nickname = Bullets Coach = Hank JanczykGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.8464355 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 H Messiah MAC-Commonwlt (11- 7, 82.3) 12- 4 227 H Salisbury Capital (23- 1, 94.9) 7-10 305 A Lynchburg Old Dominion (12- 9, 87.9) 13- 9 309 A York Capital (18- 4, 89.2) 7- 9 312 H Eastern MAC-Freedom (14- 6, 83.7) 10- 6 323 A Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 83.4) 10- 8 326 A Haverford Centennial ( 7- 8, 84.8) 12- 4 402 H Muhlenberg Centennial ( 3-13, 78.5) 16- 2 410 H Swarthmore Centennial (12- 6, 82.5) 14- 4 413 A Dickinson Centennial ( 8- 7, 88.6) 9- 4 416 H Ursinus Centennial (14- 3, 88.7) 11- 6 423 A McDaniel Centennial ( 3-12, 81.3) 12- 5 427 H Franklin & Marshall Centennial (12- 5, 85.8) 13- 5 430 A Washington College Centennial ( 7- 8, 83.9) 10- 3 504 H Swarthmore Centennial (12- 6, 82.5) 18- 8 507 H Ursinus Centennial (14- 3, 88.7) 9- 2 511 H Lynchburg Old Dominion (12- 9, 87.9) 8- 7 514 H Cabrini CSAC (15- 5, 91.2) 11-10 o 518 A York Capital (18- 4, 89.2) 7- 6 o 522 A Salisbury Capital (23- 1, 94.9) 6-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 H Messiah 12- 4 8 9 -1.68 227 H Salisbury 7-10 -3 -2 -0.06 305 A Lynchburg 13- 9 4 1 + 2.20 309 A York 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.51 312 H Eastern 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.31 323 A Widener 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.28 326 A Haverford 12- 4 8 4 + 3.08 402 H Muhlenberg 16- 2 14 13 0.00 410 H Swarthmore 14- 4 10 9 0.58 413 A Dickinson 9- 4 5 1 + 3.86 416 H Ursinus 11- 6 5 3 1.78 423 A McDaniel 12- 5 7 8 -1.45 427 H Franklin & Marshall 13- 5 8 6 1.79 430 A Washington College 10- 3 7 5 1.17 504 H Swarthmore 18- 8 10 9 0.58 507 H Ursinus 9- 2 7 3 + 3.78 511 H Lynchburg 8- 7 1 4 - -3.04 514 H Cabrini 11-10 o 1 0 0.24 518 A York 7- 6 o 1 0 0.49 522 A Salisbury 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.83UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 H Eastern 10- 6 4 8 -- -4.31 323 A Widener 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.28 309 A York 7- 9 -2 0 - -2.51 511 H Lynchburg 8- 7 1 4 - -3.04 522 A Salisbury 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.83OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 A Lynchburg 13- 9 4 1 + 2.20 326 A Haverford 12- 4 8 4 + 3.08 413 A Dickinson 9- 4 5 1 + 3.86 507 H Ursinus 9- 2 7 3 + 3.78/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.85 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 69.92 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.71 Local RPI Rank............. 2 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.0