GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.9960556 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 220 N Notre Dame ACC (11- 4, 96.4) 7-12 227 A Towson Colonial (16- 3, 94.5) 7-10 301 H Mount St. Mary's Northeast ( 6- 8, 88.8) 8-11 305 A Hofstra Colonial ( 9- 6, 92.3) 11- 6 308 H Fairfield Colonial ( 9- 8, 91.8) 9-13 312 H Hobart Northeast (10- 7, 89.7) 9-10 319 A Duke ACC (11- 8, 96.3) 6-20 323 H Loyola Patriot (14- 4, 95.0) 7-10 326 A Marquette Big East (11- 5, 93.9) 8- 9 402 H Denver Big East (13- 3, 96.5) 4-17 409 H Providence Big East ( 7- 9, 90.8) 8- 5 416 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 5, 95.6) 4-16 423 H Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 93.1) 7- 8 430 A St. John's Big East ( 2-12, 87.5) 5- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 220 N Notre Dame 7-12 -5 -7 + 2.36 227 A Towson 7-10 -3 -6 + 3.68 301 H Mount St. Mary's 8-11 -3 1 -- -4.35 305 A Hofstra 11- 6 5 -4 +++ 9.48 308 H Fairfield 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.34 312 H Hobart 9-10 -1 0 -1.41 319 A Duke 6-20 -14 -8 -1.59 323 H Loyola 7-10 -3 -4 1.84 326 A Marquette 8- 9 -1 -6 ++ 5.02 402 H Denver 4-17 -13 -6 - -3.67 409 H Providence 8- 5 3 0 + 3.68 416 A Villanova 4-16 -12 -7 - -2.28 423 H Virginia 7- 8 -1 -2 1.96 430 A St. John's 5- 8 -3 0 - -3.37UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
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LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.00 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 83.57 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 44 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 32 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 57 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 2-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3