Elmira                        4 - 9


 
   Conf = Empire 8                   Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Soaring Eagles         Coach  = Preston Chapman         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   75.3926468    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 A Keuka                  NEAC          (12- 3, 78.8)     3-13   
 312 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt (11- 8, 78.0)     5-14   
 316 H Cazenovia              NEAC          ( 8- 7, 72.2)    11-10   
 319 H Cobleskill             NEAC          ( 3-11, 62.7)    10- 3   
 326 H Nazareth               Empire 8      (12- 6, 87.1)     4-17   
 330 A Houghton               Empire 8      ( 3-13, 63.0)     8- 6   
 402 H Alfred State           Independent   ( 5-11, 61.6)    15- 4   
 409 A Hartwick               Empire 8      ( 4-10, 75.5)     5- 7   
 416 H Alfred                 Empire 8      (10- 5, 81.4)     8-20   
 419 H St. John Fisher        Empire 8      ( 8- 9, 78.6)     7-13   
 423 A Stevens                Empire 8      (14- 5, 89.2)     3-22   
 427 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (20- 2, 91.8)     3-22   
 430 A Utica                  Empire 8      ( 4-11, 76.6)     4-13   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Keuka                   3-13     -10    -9          -0.48
   312 H Lebanon Valley          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.51
   316 H Cazenovia              11-10       1     0           1.72
   319 H Cobleskill             10- 3       7     8          -1.83
   326 H Nazareth                4-17     -13   -15           0.00
   330 A Houghton                8- 6       2     6    --    -4.26
   402 H Alfred State           15- 4      11     9           0.05
   409 A Hartwick                5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.20
   416 H Alfred                  8-20     -12    -9          -0.12
   419 H St. John Fisher         7-13      -6    -7           1.12
   423 A Stevens                 3-22     -19   -19           0.00
   427 H Ithaca                  3-22     -19   -20           0.00
   430 A Utica                   4-13      -9    -7          -1.67


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Houghton                8- 6       2     6    --    -4.26
   312 H Lebanon Valley          5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.51


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Hartwick                5- 7      -2    -6    ++     4.20




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 70.39 Local Power Rank...........   175
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.89 Local SOS Rank.............   106
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   152
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    78
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   133
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -15.7


  
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