Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Blue Devils Coach = John DanowskiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.2592468 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 212 H High Point SoCon ( 9- 6, 90.2) 17- 6 214 H Lehigh Patriot ( 6- 9, 90.7) 13-11 220 N Denver Big East (13- 3, 96.5) 12-14 227 A Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-10, 85.7) 18- 5 229 H Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 87.7) 19- 9 305 N Harvard Ivy ( 8- 8, 94.5) 9-14 307 H Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 91.2) 10-12 312 A Loyola Patriot (14- 4, 95.0) 15- 6 319 H Georgetown Big East ( 2-12, 89.0) 20- 6 322 H Air Force SoCon (15- 3, 92.3) 9-10 o 326 H Syracuse ACC (12- 5, 96.6) 16-15 o 401 H North Carolina ACC (12- 6, 96.2) 16-17 o 410 A Notre Dame ACC (11- 4, 96.4) 6- 8 417 A Virginia ACC ( 7- 8, 93.1) 14- 8 422 H Marquette Big East (11- 5, 93.9) 16- 1 429 N Notre Dame ACC (11- 4, 96.4) 10- 9 o 501 N Syracuse ACC (12- 5, 96.6) 8-14 508 A Boston U. Patriot ( 8- 7, 90.6) 15- 8 514 A Loyola Patriot (14- 4, 95.0) 11-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 212 H High Point 17- 6 11 7 + 2.81 214 H Lehigh 13-11 2 6 -- -4.69 220 N Denver 12-14 -2 0 -1.79 227 A Jacksonville 18- 5 13 9 0.56 229 H Mercer 19- 9 10 9 0.29 305 N Harvard 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.73 307 H Richmond 10-12 -2 6 --- -8.16 312 A Loyola 15- 6 9 0 +++ 8.87 319 H Georgetown 20- 6 14 8 1.59 322 H Air Force 9-10 o -1 5 --- -6.13 326 H Syracuse 16-15 o 1 0 0.17 401 H North Carolina 16-17 o -1 1 - -2.21 410 A Notre Dame 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.76 417 A Virginia 14- 8 6 2 + 3.98 422 H Marquette 16- 1 15 3 +++ 6.47 429 N Notre Dame 10- 9 o 1 0 1.10 501 N Syracuse 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.69 508 A Boston U. 15- 8 7 4 + 2.46 514 A Loyola 11-16 -5 0 -- -5.13UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 N Harvard 9-14 -5 1 --- -6.73 307 H Richmond 10-12 -2 6 --- -8.16 322 H Air Force 9-10 o -1 5 --- -6.13 214 H Lehigh 13-11 2 6 -- -4.69 501 N Syracuse 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.69 514 A Loyola 11-16 -5 0 -- -5.13 401 H North Carolina 16-17 o -1 1 - -2.21OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Loyola 15- 6 9 0 +++ 8.87 422 H Marquette 16- 1 15 3 +++ 6.47 212 H High Point 17- 6 11 7 + 2.81 417 A Virginia 14- 8 6 2 + 3.98 508 A Boston U. 15- 8 7 4 + 2.46/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 96.26 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 83.64 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.59 Local RPI Rank............. 10 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 0.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 16 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.3