Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Jason ArchbellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.6302567 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 305 H Amherst NESCAC (14- 5, 91.2) 7-10 312 H Williams NESCAC (10- 7, 88.2) 15- 9 316 N Springfield NEWMAC (12- 8, 86.0) 13- 5 319 N Hamilton NESCAC ( 4-11, 84.7) 15-10 322 N Stevens Empire 8 (14- 5, 89.2) 11- 7 326 H Middlebury NESCAC (12- 7, 89.5) 9- 8 o 329 H Babson NEWMAC ( 9- 8, 83.8) 12- 6 402 H Trinity NESCAC ( 5-10, 86.4) 10- 8 406 A Bates NESCAC (11- 4, 89.8) 14-10 409 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 7- 9, 87.4) 9- 5 412 H Keene State Little East (14- 4, 86.6) 12-13 416 A Wesleyan NESCAC (10- 5, 89.5) 11-12 o 420 H Colby NESCAC ( 3-12, 83.8) 18- 9 423 H Emmanuel Great Northea (11- 9, 76.0) 14- 5 427 A Tufts NESCAC (20- 3, 94.0) 10-20 430 H Wesleyan NESCAC (10- 5, 89.5) 10- 8 507 N Middlebury NESCAC (12- 7, 89.5) 9-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 305 H Amherst 7-10 -3 0 - -2.50 312 H Williams 15- 9 6 2 + 3.47 316 N Springfield 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.34 319 N Hamilton 15-10 5 4 0.10 322 N Stevens 11- 7 4 0 + 3.60 326 H Middlebury 9- 8 o 1 1 -0.25 329 H Babson 12- 6 6 6 -0.97 402 H Trinity 10- 8 2 4 - -2.30 406 A Bates 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.24 409 A Connecticut College 9- 5 4 1 + 2.93 412 H Keene State 12-13 -1 4 -- -5.12 416 A Wesleyan 11-12 o -1 0 -0.00 420 H Colby 18- 9 9 6 + 2.06 423 H Emmanuel 14- 5 9 14 -1.00 427 A Tufts 10-20 -10 -5 -- -4.52 430 H Wesleyan 10- 8 2 1 0.77 507 N Middlebury 9-10 -1 0 -1.13UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Keene State 12-13 -1 4 -- -5.12 427 A Tufts 10-20 -10 -5 -- -4.52 305 H Amherst 7-10 -3 0 - -2.50 402 H Trinity 10- 8 2 4 - -2.30OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 316 N Springfield 13- 5 8 3 ++ 4.34 406 A Bates 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.24 312 H Williams 15- 9 6 2 + 3.47 322 N Stevens 11- 7 4 0 + 3.60 409 A Connecticut College 9- 5 4 1 + 2.93 420 H Colby 18- 9 9 6 + 2.06/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 89.63 Local Power Rank........... 12 Local SOS Rating......... 71.61 Local SOS Rank............. 5 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 22 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 38 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 15 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0