Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Bearcats               Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4758987    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 A Colgate                Patriot       ( 4-10, 88.6)     4-11   
 227 A Marist                 Metro Atlanti ( 9- 7, 89.8)     8-10   
 305 A Hobart                 Northeast     (10- 7, 89.7)     6-12   
 312 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-10, 88.8)    11-12  o
 319 H UMBC                   America East  ( 4-10, 88.5)    16-10   
 322 H Drexel                 Colonial      ( 6- 9, 92.0)    10- 7   
 326 A Towson                 Colonial      (16- 3, 94.5)     6-15   
 402 A Hartford               America East  (11- 7, 91.1)     9-17   
 409 H UMass Lowell           America East  ( 4-12, 85.9)    16- 5   
 412 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 4- 8, 87.0)    13-12   
 416 A Albany                 America East  (12- 4, 95.0)     8-12   
 420 A Syracuse               ACC           (12- 5, 96.6)     5-13   
 424 H Stony Brook            America East  (12- 4, 94.9)    11-16   
 430 A Vermont                America East  ( 9- 8, 91.0)     9-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Colgate                 4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.71
   227 A Marist                  8-10      -2    -2           0.45
   305 A Hobart                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.61
   312 H Delaware               11-12  o   -1     0          -1.86
   319 H UMBC                   16-10       6     1    ++     4.86
   322 H Drexel                 10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.42
   326 A Towson                  6-15      -9    -7          -1.80
   402 A Hartford                9-17      -8    -3    --    -4.26
   409 H UMass Lowell           16- 5      11     3    +++    6.28
   412 H Canisius               13-12       1     2          -1.65
   416 A Albany                  8-12      -4    -7    +      3.70
   420 A Syracuse                5-13      -8    -9           1.24
   424 H Stony Brook            11-16      -5    -5           0.26
   430 A Vermont                 9-17      -8    -3    --    -4.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 A Colgate                 4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.71
   402 A Hartford                9-17      -8    -3    --    -4.26
   430 A Vermont                 9-17      -8    -3    --    -4.32
   305 A Hobart                  6-12      -6    -2    -     -3.61

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H UMass Lowell           16- 5      11     3    +++    6.28
   319 H UMBC                   16-10       6     1    ++     4.86
   322 H Drexel                 10- 7       3    -2    ++     5.42
   416 A Albany                  8-12      -4    -7    +      3.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.48 Local Power Rank...........    53
 Local SOS Rating......... 79.08 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    52
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/