Conf = SoCon Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Eric SeremetGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.2695770 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Navy Patriot (11- 5, 94.7) 6-10 213 H Denver Big East (13- 3, 96.5) 9-10 220 A Marist Metro Atlanti ( 9- 7, 89.8) 7- 6 4o 227 N Dartmouth Ivy ( 1-13, 85.0) 9- 3 228 N Sacred Heart Northeast ( 2-14, 86.6) 13-10 305 A Robert Morris Northeast ( 7- 8, 89.9) 11-10 312 H Furman SoCon ( 2-11, 87.0) 14- 4 319 H High Point SoCon ( 9- 6, 90.2) 13- 4 322 A Duke ACC (11- 8, 96.3) 10- 9 o 326 A Detroit Metro Atlanti ( 2-10, 86.3) 7- 5 402 A Bellarmine SoCon ( 6- 9, 89.5) 8- 7 o 409 H Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 87.7) 15-13 416 H VMI SoCon ( 2-14, 79.8) 13- 3 423 A Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 91.2) 9- 8 430 A Jacksonville SoCon ( 3-10, 85.7) 11- 6 505 N Bellarmine SoCon ( 6- 9, 89.5) 10- 8 507 A Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 91.2) 9- 8 o 514 A Notre Dame ACC (11- 4, 96.4) 7-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Navy 6-10 -4 -3 -0.39 213 H Denver 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.06 220 A Marist 7- 6 4o 1 1 -0.34 227 N Dartmouth 9- 3 6 7 -1.29 228 N Sacred Heart 13-10 3 5 - -2.71 305 A Robert Morris 11-10 1 1 -0.22 312 H Furman 14- 4 10 6 + 3.58 319 H High Point 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.80 322 A Duke 10- 9 o 1 -5 +++ 6.13 326 A Detroit 7- 5 2 4 - -2.86 402 A Bellarmine 8- 7 o 1 1 -0.63 409 H Mercer 15-13 2 5 - -3.72 416 H VMI 13- 3 10 13 0.00 423 A Richmond 9- 8 1 0 1.11 430 A Jacksonville 11- 6 5 5 -0.45 505 N Bellarmine 10- 8 2 2 -0.78 507 A Richmond 9- 8 o 1 0 1.11 514 A Notre Dame 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.77UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N Sacred Heart 13-10 3 5 - -2.71 326 A Detroit 7- 5 2 4 - -2.86 409 H Mercer 15-13 2 5 - -3.72 514 A Notre Dame 7-15 -8 -5 - -2.77OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Duke 10- 9 o 1 -5 +++ 6.13 319 H High Point 13- 4 9 3 ++ 5.80 213 H Denver 9-10 -1 -3 + 2.06 312 H Furman 14- 4 10 6 + 3.58/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 92.27 Local Power Rank........... 29 Local SOS Rating......... 76.36 Local SOS Rank............. 54 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 18 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7