Conf = SoCon                      Region = West         State = CO
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Eric Seremet            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.2695770    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A Navy                   Patriot       (11- 5, 94.7)     6-10   
 213 H Denver                 Big East      (13- 3, 96.5)     9-10   
 220 A Marist                 Metro Atlanti ( 9- 7, 89.8)     7- 6 4o
 227 N Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 1-13, 85.0)     9- 3   
 228 N Sacred Heart           Northeast     ( 2-14, 86.6)    13-10   
 305 A Robert Morris          Northeast     ( 7- 8, 89.9)    11-10   
 312 H Furman                 SoCon         ( 2-11, 87.0)    14- 4   
 319 H High Point             SoCon         ( 9- 6, 90.2)    13- 4   
 322 A Duke                   ACC           (11- 8, 96.3)    10- 9  o
 326 A Detroit                Metro Atlanti ( 2-10, 86.3)     7- 5   
 402 A Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 6- 9, 89.5)     8- 7  o
 409 H Mercer                 SoCon         ( 5- 8, 87.7)    15-13   
 416 H VMI                    SoCon         ( 2-14, 79.8)    13- 3   
 423 A Richmond               SoCon         (11- 5, 91.2)     9- 8   
 430 A Jacksonville           SoCon         ( 3-10, 85.7)    11- 6   
 505 N Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 6- 9, 89.5)    10- 8   
 507 A Richmond               SoCon         (11- 5, 91.2)     9- 8  o
 514 A Notre Dame             ACC           (11- 4, 96.4)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Navy                    6-10      -4    -3          -0.39
   213 H Denver                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.06
   220 A Marist                  7- 6 4o    1     1          -0.34
   227 N Dartmouth               9- 3       6     7          -1.29
   228 N Sacred Heart           13-10       3     5    -     -2.71
   305 A Robert Morris          11-10       1     1          -0.22
   312 H Furman                 14- 4      10     6    +      3.58
   319 H High Point             13- 4       9     3    ++     5.80
   322 A Duke                   10- 9  o    1    -5    +++    6.13
   326 A Detroit                 7- 5       2     4    -     -2.86
   402 A Bellarmine              8- 7  o    1     1          -0.63
   409 H Mercer                 15-13       2     5    -     -3.72
   416 H VMI                    13- 3      10    13           0.00
   423 A Richmond                9- 8       1     0           1.11
   430 A Jacksonville           11- 6       5     5          -0.45
   505 N Bellarmine             10- 8       2     2          -0.78
   507 A Richmond                9- 8  o    1     0           1.11
   514 A Notre Dame              7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Sacred Heart           13-10       3     5    -     -2.71
   326 A Detroit                 7- 5       2     4    -     -2.86
   409 H Mercer                 15-13       2     5    -     -3.72
   514 A Notre Dame              7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.77

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Duke                   10- 9  o    1    -5    +++    6.13
   319 H High Point             13- 4       9     3    ++     5.80
   213 H Denver                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.06
   312 H Furman                 14- 4      10     6    +      3.58
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.27 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.36 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/