Conf = Little East Region = North State = CT Nickname = Colonials Coach = Jason OuelletGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 82.5839691 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Kean Skyline ( 9- 8, 78.9) 7-13 304 A Trinity NESCAC ( 4-11, 84.4) 6-14 307 A Scranton Landmark (10- 8, 80.6) 7-12 312 N Vassar Liberty ( 6-10, 79.6) 8- 9 314 N Plattsburgh SUNYAC (13- 6, 86.4) 11-14 317 N Hamilton NESCAC ( 8- 8, 86.2) 8-12 325 A Wesleyan NESCAC ( 9- 7, 87.6) 4-20 328 H Plymouth State Little East (12- 4, 78.7) 7- 8 331 A Merchant Marine Landmark ( 7- 7, 77.3) 11- 8 404 H Keene State Little East (12- 5, 86.4) 10-23 408 A Farmingdale State Skyline ( 8- 8, 77.2) 9- 7 411 H UMass Boston Little East ( 5-10, 73.2) 16-11 415 A Salem State Little East ( 7- 9, 73.9) 16-19 418 H UMass Dartmouth Little East ( 8- 9, 77.2) 11-10 421 H Eastern Connecticut Little East ( 8- 7, 79.2) 10-15 425 A Southern Maine Little East ( 6- 7, 72.8) 16- 9 428 A UMass Dartmouth Little East ( 8- 9, 77.2) 11- 8 430 A Keene State Little East (12- 5, 86.4) 7-17PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Kean 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.20 304 A Trinity 6-14 -8 -8 0.25 307 A Scranton 7-12 -5 -4 -0.51 312 N Vassar 8- 9 -1 -2 1.02 314 N Plattsburgh 11-14 -3 -8 ++ 5.81 317 N Hamilton 8-12 -4 -8 ++ 4.62 325 A Wesleyan 4-20 -16 -11 0.00 328 H Plymouth State 7- 8 -1 0 -1.33 331 A Merchant Marine 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.15 404 H Keene State 10-23 -13 -7 - -2.67 408 A Farmingdale State 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.10 411 H UMass Boston 16-11 5 5 -0.79 415 A Salem State 16-19 -3 2 -- -5.20 418 H UMass Dartmouth 11-10 1 1 -0.80 421 H Eastern Connecticut 10-15 -5 0 -- -4.82 425 A Southern Maine 16- 9 7 3 + 3.66 428 A UMass Dartmouth 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.08 430 A Keene State 7-17 -10 -10 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Salem State 16-19 -3 2 -- -5.20 421 H Eastern Connecticut 10-15 -5 0 -- -4.82 228 A Kean 7-13 -6 -2 - -3.20 404 H Keene State 10-23 -13 -7 - -2.67OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 N Plattsburgh 11-14 -3 -8 ++ 5.81 317 N Hamilton 8-12 -4 -8 ++ 4.62 331 A Merchant Marine 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.15 428 A UMass Dartmouth 11- 8 3 -1 ++ 4.08 408 A Farmingdale State 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.10 425 A Southern Maine 16- 9 7 3 + 3.66/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 77.58 Local Power Rank........... 103 Local SOS Rating......... 57.95 Local SOS Rank............. 62 Local RPI Rating......... 0.47 Local RPI Rank............. 133 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 213 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 205 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 12.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -3.0 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0