Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Jamie Steele            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5658646    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Mary Washington        Capital       ( 8- 8, 83.4)     6- 2   
 304 A Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6)     4- 2   
 307 H Kenyon                 North Coast   ( 9- 7, 81.8)    12- 5   
 311 H Montclair State        Skyline       (13- 6, 85.8)    11- 9   
 315 N Rensselaer             Liberty       (10- 5, 87.1)     6-10   
 321 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 7- 8, 81.4)    13- 5   
 325 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    ( 7- 9, 85.2)     9- 7   
 328 A Dickinson              Centennial    ( 7- 9, 84.6)     8- 3   
 404 H Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (15- 4, 87.1)    14-11   
 408 A Washington College     Centennial    ( 6-10, 82.3)    14- 6   
 411 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (20- 1, 90.9)     7- 9   
 418 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 3-10, 79.8)    20- 2   
 422 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 5- 9, 80.8)    11- 5   
 425 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 7- 7, 82.7)    12- 7   
 429 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 7- 9, 84.6)     8- 6   
 502 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (20- 1, 90.9)    10-11   
 506 A Cabrini                CSAC          (13- 6, 87.7)     8- 7   
 509 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (20- 1, 90.9)     9-10 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Mary Washington         6- 2       4     3           0.23
   304 A Widener                 4- 2       2     6    --    -4.54
   307 H Kenyon                 12- 5       7     8          -1.22
   311 H Montclair State        11- 9       2     4    -     -2.16
   315 N Rensselaer              6-10      -4     1    --    -5.46
   321 A Swarthmore             13- 5       8     5    +      2.30
   325 H Franklin & Marshall     9- 7       2     4    -     -2.81
   328 A Dickinson               8- 3       5     2    +      2.45
   404 H Eastern                14-11       3     2           0.05
   408 A Washington College     14- 6       8     4    +      3.16
   411 H Gettysburg              7- 9      -2     0          -1.07
   418 H Muhlenberg             20- 2      18    10           0.00
   422 H Haverford              11- 5       6     9    -     -3.16
   425 A McDaniel               12- 7       5     4           0.62
   429 H Dickinson               8- 6       2     5    -     -3.43
   502 A Gettysburg             10-11      -1    -3    +      2.81
   506 A Cabrini                 8- 7       1     0           1.61
   509 A Gettysburg              9-10 2o   -1    -3    +      2.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Widener                 4- 2       2     6    --    -4.54
   315 N Rensselaer              6-10      -4     1    --    -5.46
   311 H Montclair State        11- 9       2     4    -     -2.16
   325 H Franklin & Marshall     9- 7       2     4    -     -2.81
   422 H Haverford              11- 5       6     9    -     -3.16
   429 H Dickinson               8- 6       2     5    -     -3.43

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Swarthmore             13- 5       8     5    +      2.30
   328 A Dickinson               8- 3       5     2    +      2.45
   408 A Washington College     14- 6       8     4    +      3.16
   502 A Gettysburg             10-11      -1    -3    +      2.81
   509 A Gettysburg              9-10 2o   -1    -3    +      2.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.57 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.58 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   201
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
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