Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Joe BreschiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.0797577 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 H Furman SoCon ( 4- 9, 87.9) 19- 4 210 H High Point SoCon (10- 7, 90.9) 15- 9 214 H Massachusetts Colonial ( 5-10, 91.9) 20- 8 221 H Johns Hopkins Big Ten (11- 7, 96.9) 13-11 227 H Denver Big East (17- 2, 98.9) 12-10 307 H Manhattan Metro Atlanti ( 1-14, 80.8) 26- 6 310 H Bryant Northeast ( 8-10, 91.6) 10- 9 314 A Richmond SoCon (11- 5, 92.8) 16-11 317 H Harvard Ivy ( 7- 7, 93.2) 15-10 321 N Maryland Big Ten (15- 4, 97.0) 8-10 329 H Duke ACC (12- 6, 97.0) 15-14 403 A Virginia ACC (10- 5, 94.9) 10- 6 411 H Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 99.9) 17-15 418 A Notre Dame ACC (12- 3, 99.1) 14-15 424 N Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 99.9) 8- 9 510 H Colgate Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 19-12 517 N Maryland Big Ten (15- 4, 97.0) 7-14PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Furman 19- 4 15 11 0.00 210 H High Point 15- 9 6 8 - -2.17 214 H Massachusetts 20- 8 12 7 + 2.85 221 H Johns Hopkins 13-11 2 2 -0.16 227 H Denver 12-10 2 0 1.87 307 H Manhattan 26- 6 20 18 0.00 310 H Bryant 10- 9 1 7 --- -6.49 314 A Richmond 16-11 5 4 0.70 317 H Harvard 15-10 5 5 -0.87 321 N Maryland 8-10 -2 1 - -3.06 329 H Duke 15-14 1 2 -1.01 403 A Virginia 10- 6 4 2 1.81 411 H Syracuse 17-15 2 0 + 2.84 418 A Notre Dame 14-15 -1 -2 1.02 424 N Syracuse 8- 9 -1 -1 0.82 510 H Colgate 19-12 7 4 + 2.24 517 N Maryland 7-14 -7 1 --- -8.06UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Bryant 10- 9 1 7 --- -6.49 517 N Maryland 7-14 -7 1 --- -8.06 210 H High Point 15- 9 6 8 - -2.17 321 N Maryland 8-10 -2 1 - -3.06OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H Massachusetts 20- 8 12 7 + 2.85 411 H Syracuse 17-15 2 0 + 2.84 510 H Colgate 19-12 7 4 + 2.24/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 98.08 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 86.91 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.65 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 10.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 10.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 5.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3