U. of DC                      2 - 9


 
   Conf = East Coast                 Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Firebirds              Coach  = Scott Urick             



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   80.3095703    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H Alderson Broaddus      ECAC-II       ( 4- 9, 73.0)    10- 9  o
 311 H Bentley                Northeast 10  ( 6- 7, 81.9)     3-17   
 317 A LIU Post               East Coast    (14- 3, 87.0)     5-13   
 321 A NYIT                   East Coast    (12- 4, 87.3)     6-27   
 325 H Mercy                  East Coast    (10- 7, 83.6)     7-16   
 329 A Post                   Independent   ( 6- 8, 77.0)    10-18   
 331 A Dominican C.           East Coast    ( 1-12, 71.5)    13-11   
 404 A Dowling                East Coast    ( 5- 8, 80.5)    10-20   
 410 H Chestnut Hill          East Coast    ( 6- 7, 80.1)    12-15   
 418 A Molloy                 East Coast    (11- 4, 83.3)    13-22   
 425 H Roberts Wesleyan       East Coast    ( 4-11, 77.1)     9-18   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Alderson Broaddus      10- 9  o    1     0           0.77
   311 H Bentley                 3-17     -14    -8          -1.33
   317 A LIU Post                5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   321 A NYIT                    6-27     -21   -15           0.00
   325 H Mercy                   7-16      -9   -10           1.00
   329 A Post                   10-18      -8    -5    -     -2.39
   331 A Dominican C.           13-11       2     0    +      2.16
   404 A Dowling                10-20     -10    -9          -0.83
   410 H Chestnut Hill          12-15      -3    -6    +      3.85
   418 A Molloy                 13-22      -9   -11           1.00
   425 H Roberts Wesleyan        9-18      -9    -3    --    -5.12


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Roberts Wesleyan        9-18      -9    -3    --    -5.12
   329 A Post                   10-18      -8    -5    -     -2.39


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A LIU Post                5-13      -8   -15    +      2.00
   331 A Dominican C.           13-11       2     0    +      2.16
   410 H Chestnut Hill          12-15      -3    -6    +      3.85




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 72.31 Local Power Rank...........    52
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.05 Local SOS Rank.............    38
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.39 Local RPI Rank.............    50
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    55
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    49
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0


  
/