Conf = South Atlantic             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Royals                 Coach  = Jim Fritz               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7740784    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 N Tampa                  Sunshine Stat (15- 4, 86.3)     4-20   
 214 N LIU Post               East Coast    (14- 3, 87.0)     8-12   
 218 H Coker                  South Atlanti ( 9- 5, 80.9)    11- 8   
 221 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (10- 5, 85.1)    11-10  o
 224 A Limestone              Carolinas     (20- 1, 91.9)     7-18   
 301 A Mercyhurst             ECAC-II       ( 8- 6, 85.9)     5-15   
 307 A Mars Hill              South Atlanti (10- 6, 85.2)    14-10   
 314 H Brevard                South Atlanti ( 8- 8, 76.4)    20-10   
 318 A Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti ( 9- 7, 84.5)     9-10   
 321 A Lincoln Memorial       South Atlanti ( 4-10, 75.3)     9- 6   
 325 H Catawba                South Atlanti ( 5-10, 78.9)    11-10  o
 328 H Florida Southern       Sunshine Stat ( 6- 8, 82.5)     6-10   
 404 H Wingate                South Atlanti ( 6-10, 79.3)    15-12   
 409 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 5, 83.5)    11-15   
 411 A Tusculum               South Atlanti ( 5- 8, 78.5)    10- 8   
 416 H Mars Hill              South Atlanti (10- 6, 85.2)    11-12   
 426 H Lake Erie              ECAC-II       (15- 3, 87.7)     9- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 N Tampa                   4-20     -16    -4    --    -5.49
   214 N LIU Post                8-12      -4    -5           1.22
   218 H Coker                  11- 8       3     1           1.21
   221 H Pfeiffer               11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.41
   224 A Limestone               7-18     -11   -11           0.00
   301 A Mercyhurst              5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.90
   307 A Mars Hill              14-10       4    -4    +++    8.34
   314 H Brevard                20-10      10     6    +      3.66
   318 A Lenoir-Rhyne            9-10      -1    -3    +      2.64
   321 A Lincoln Memorial        9- 6       3     5    -     -2.53
   325 H Catawba                11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.82
   328 H Florida Southern        6-10      -4     0    --    -4.22
   404 H Wingate                15-12       3     3          -0.39
   409 A Belmont Abbey          11-15      -4    -2          -1.32
   411 A Tusculum               10- 8       2     2          -0.30
   416 H Mars Hill              11-12      -1    -2           1.46
   426 H Lake Erie               9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 N Tampa                   4-20     -16    -4    --    -5.49
   301 A Mercyhurst              5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.90
   328 H Florida Southern        6-10      -4     0    --    -4.22
   321 A Lincoln Memorial        9- 6       3     5    -     -2.53
   325 H Catawba                11-10  o    1     3    -     -2.82

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Mars Hill              14-10       4    -4    +++    8.34
   426 H Lake Erie               9- 8       1    -4    ++     5.97
   221 H Pfeiffer               11-10  o    1    -2    +      3.41
   314 H Brevard                20-10      10     6    +      3.66
   318 A Lenoir-Rhyne            9-10      -1    -3    +      2.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.77 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.42 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
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