Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Jason Lange             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.1223907    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A Florida Southern       Sunshine Stat ( 6- 8, 82.5)    16-15   
 214 H Mars Hill              South Atlanti (10- 6, 85.2)    11-10  o
 221 A Queens U. of Charlotte South Atlanti ( 9- 8, 81.8)    10-11  o
 225 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 2-14, 68.0)    24- 5   
 228 N Coker                  South Atlanti ( 9- 5, 80.9)    19- 6   
 307 A Seton Hill             ECAC-II       ( 9- 5, 86.5)    12-13   
 314 N Emmanuel (GA)          Carolinas     ( 3-10, 70.8)    19- 7   
 318 H Saint Leo              Sunshine Stat ( 7- 7, 82.4)     9- 7   
 321 H Lenoir-Rhyne           South Atlanti ( 9- 7, 84.5)    11- 8   
 328 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (11- 5, 83.5)     7- 6   
 401 A Mount Olive            Carolinas     (11- 5, 84.2)    15-12   
 408 A Catawba                South Atlanti ( 5-10, 78.9)    11-12  o
 411 A North Greenville       Carolinas     ( 1-14, 70.7)    21- 5   
 418 H Limestone              Carolinas     (20- 1, 91.9)    11-19   
 424 N Mount Olive            Carolinas     (11- 5, 84.2)    13-14 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Florida Southern       16-15       1     1          -0.69
   214 H Mars Hill              11-10  o    1     0           0.11
   221 A Queens U. of Charlotte 10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.41
   225 H Lees-McRae             24- 5      19    18           0.00
   228 N Coker                  19- 6      13     4    ++     5.80
   307 A Seton Hill             12-13      -1    -2           1.30
   314 N Emmanuel (GA)          19- 7      12    14           0.00
   318 H Saint Leo               9- 7       2     3          -1.64
   321 H Lenoir-Rhyne           11- 8       3     1           1.42
   328 A Belmont Abbey           7- 6       1     0           0.33
   401 A Mount Olive            15-12       3     0    +      3.03
   408 A Catawba                11-12  o   -1     5    ---   -6.29
   411 A North Greenville       21- 5      16    13           0.00
   418 H Limestone              11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.16
   424 N Mount Olive            13-14 2o   -1     0          -1.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Catawba                11-12  o   -1     5    ---   -6.29
   221 A Queens U. of Charlotte 10-11  o   -1     2    -     -3.41
   418 H Limestone              11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Coker                  19- 6      13     4    ++     5.80
   401 A Mount Olive            15-12       3     0    +      3.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.12 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.83 Local SOS Rank.............    28
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
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