Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Warriors               Coach  = Chris Scanlon           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.4784241    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 80.3)     5- 7   
 228 H Gwynedd Mercy          CSAC          (11- 5, 79.9)     7-11   
 304 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (13- 5, 86.7)     4-19   
 308 A Susquehanna            Landmark      (12- 4, 81.1)     1- 7   
 311 H Frostburg State        Capital       (16- 3, 86.8)     4-12   
 314 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 3-10, 79.8)     5-15   
 321 A Misericordia           MAC-Freedom   (10- 8, 80.1)     3- 6   
 328 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 73.5)     7- 3   
 401 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 9, 76.3)     2- 7   
 408 A Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt (12- 5, 81.7)     6-13   
 411 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6)     7- 6   
 415 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt ( 6-10, 71.6)     8- 9   
 418 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt (13- 4, 84.8)     5-18   
 421 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (16- 5, 90.3)     5-21   
 425 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 66.3)     8- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Geneseo                 5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.39
   228 H Gwynedd Mercy           7-11      -4    -3          -0.02
   304 H Ithaca                  4-19     -15   -10           0.00
   308 A Susquehanna             1- 7      -6    -8    +      2.03
   311 H Frostburg State         4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
   314 A Muhlenberg              5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.22
   321 A Misericordia            3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.05
   328 A Arcadia                 7- 3       4     0    ++     4.45
   401 H Lebanon Valley          2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.62
   408 A Messiah                 6-13      -7    -8           1.63
   411 H Widener                 7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.67
   415 H Hood                    8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.35
   418 A Albright                5-18     -13   -11           0.00
   421 A Stevenson               5-21     -16   -17           0.00
   425 H Alvernia                8- 4       4     9    --    -5.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Lebanon Valley          2- 7      -5     0    --    -4.62
   415 H Hood                    8- 9      -1     4    --    -5.35
   425 H Alvernia                8- 4       4     9    --    -5.59
   314 A Muhlenberg              5-15     -10    -6    -     -3.22

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Misericordia            3- 6      -3    -7    ++     4.05
   328 A Arcadia                 7- 3       4     0    ++     4.45
   411 H Widener                 7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.67
   225 H Geneseo                 5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.39
   308 A Susquehanna             1- 7      -6    -8    +      2.03
   311 H Frostburg State         4-12      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.48 Local Power Rank...........   129
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.79 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............   155
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   118
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   206
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/