Conf = Centennial Region = South State = PA Nickname = Bullets Coach = Hank JanczykGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.9339447 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Goucher Landmark ( 7- 7, 79.7) 14- 4 228 A Salisbury Capital (17- 5, 92.0) 12- 6 304 A Messiah MAC-Commonwlt (12- 5, 81.7) 18- 7 308 H Lynchburg Old Dominion (21- 3, 91.0) 7- 6 311 H York Capital (10- 9, 84.6) 12- 6 314 A Eastern MAC-Freedom (15- 4, 87.1) 15- 9 321 H Haverford Centennial ( 5- 9, 80.8) 14- 3 325 H Widener MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6) 15- 5 328 A Muhlenberg Centennial ( 3-10, 79.8) 15- 6 404 A Swarthmore Centennial ( 7- 8, 81.4) 11-10 o 408 H Dickinson Centennial ( 7- 9, 84.6) 17- 5 411 A Ursinus Centennial (14- 4, 88.6) 9- 7 418 H McDaniel Centennial ( 7- 7, 82.7) 16- 6 422 A Franklin & Marshall Centennial ( 7- 9, 85.2) 10- 8 425 H Washington College Centennial ( 6-10, 82.3) 11- 9 429 H Washington College Centennial ( 6-10, 82.3) 23- 5 502 H Ursinus Centennial (14- 4, 88.6) 11-10 506 H Catholic Landmark (11- 6, 80.5) 19- 3 509 H Ursinus Centennial (14- 4, 88.6) 10- 9 2o 513 H Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (18- 1, 89.7) 9- 5 516 H Lynchburg Old Dominion (21- 3, 91.0) 9-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Goucher 14- 4 10 12 0.00 228 A Salisbury 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.46 304 A Messiah 18- 7 11 7 + 2.18 308 H Lynchburg 7- 6 1 1 -0.32 311 H York 12- 6 6 7 -1.82 314 A Eastern 15- 9 6 2 + 3.57 321 H Haverford 14- 3 11 11 0.00 325 H Widener 15- 5 10 11 0.00 328 A Muhlenberg 15- 6 9 9 -0.68 404 A Swarthmore 11-10 o 1 8 --- -7.07 408 H Dickinson 17- 5 12 7 + 2.20 411 A Ursinus 9- 7 2 0 1.07 418 H McDaniel 16- 6 10 9 0.37 422 A Franklin & Marshall 10- 8 2 4 - -2.30 425 H Washington College 11- 9 2 10 --- -8.00 429 H Washington College 23- 5 18 10 0.00 502 H Ursinus 11-10 1 3 - -2.81 506 H Catholic 19- 3 16 11 0.00 509 H Ursinus 10- 9 2o 1 3 - -2.81 513 H Ohio Wesleyan 9- 5 4 2 1.31 516 H Lynchburg 9-11 -2 1 - -3.32UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Swarthmore 11-10 o 1 8 --- -7.07 425 H Washington College 11- 9 2 10 --- -8.00 422 A Franklin & Marshall 10- 8 2 4 - -2.30 502 H Ursinus 11-10 1 3 - -2.81 509 H Ursinus 10- 9 2o 1 3 - -2.81 516 H Lynchburg 9-11 -2 1 - -3.32OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Salisbury 12- 6 6 -2 +++ 8.46 304 A Messiah 18- 7 11 7 + 2.18 314 A Eastern 15- 9 6 2 + 3.57 408 H Dickinson 17- 5 12 7 + 2.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.93 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 66.68 Local SOS Rank............. 18 Local RPI Rating......... 0.71 Local RPI Rank............. 3 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 8 Local Quality Win Rating.180.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 3 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0