Conf = CCIW Region = South State = IL Nickname = Blue Jays Coach = Mark MorrellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.7666702 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 226 N Adrian MIAA (11- 5, 78.1) 6-17 307 H Beloit Midwest ( 5- 8, 70.6) 8- 7 311 H Concordia-Wisconsin Midwest (10- 7, 77.1) 3-16 314 A Carroll CCIW ( 0- 6, 51.3) 26- 0 318 A Aurora Midwest (14- 8, 80.4) 5-15 321 H John Carroll OAC ( 9- 7, 78.1) 6-12 325 A Transylvania Ohio River (11- 6, 74.8) 5- 6 326 A Fontbonne Midwest ( 1-14, 59.3) 27- 7 329 H Southwestern Independent ( 6-10, 70.6) 9- 3 404 H Cornell (IA) Midwest ( 3-10, 65.6) 17- 8 408 A Benedictine Midwest (11- 5, 75.7) 12- 9 411 A Illinois Wesleyan CCIW (11- 7, 76.7) 4-16 415 H Carthage CCIW (16- 5, 78.6) 5-15 418 A Augustana CCIW (14- 5, 78.5) 13-15 425 H Dubuque CCIW ( 2-10, 56.9) 20- 4 429 A Carthage CCIW (16- 5, 78.6) 4- 8PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 N Adrian 6-17 -11 -5 -- -4.64 307 H Beloit 8- 7 1 3 - -2.58 311 H Concordia-Wisconsin 3-16 -13 -2 --- -7.14 314 A Carroll 26- 0 26 20 0.00 318 A Aurora 5-15 -10 -9 -0.92 321 H John Carroll 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.09 325 A Transylvania 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.43 326 A Fontbonne 27- 7 20 12 0.00 329 H Southwestern 9- 3 6 3 + 2.39 404 H Cornell (IA) 17- 8 9 8 0.39 408 A Benedictine 12- 9 3 -4 +++ 7.36 411 A Illinois Wesleyan 4-16 -12 -5 -- -4.60 415 H Carthage 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.65 418 A Augustana 13-15 -2 -7 ++ 5.15 425 H Dubuque 20- 4 16 17 0.00 429 A Carthage 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.23UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Concordia-Wisconsin 3-16 -13 -2 --- -7.14 226 N Adrian 6-17 -11 -5 -- -4.64 411 A Illinois Wesleyan 4-16 -12 -5 -- -4.60 415 H Carthage 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.65 307 H Beloit 8- 7 1 3 - -2.58 321 H John Carroll 6-12 -6 -3 - -2.09OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Benedictine 12- 9 3 -4 +++ 7.36 418 A Augustana 13-15 -2 -7 ++ 5.15 325 A Transylvania 5- 6 -1 -3 + 2.43 329 H Southwestern 9- 3 6 3 + 2.39 429 A Carthage 4- 8 -4 -7 + 3.23/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 72.77 Local Power Rank........... 142 Local SOS Rating......... 45.04 Local SOS Rank............. 161 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 128 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 71 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 152 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3