Conf = ACC Region = Southeast State = NC Nickname = Blue Devils Coach = John DanowskiGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.0482330 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 207 A High Point SoCon (10- 7, 90.9) 16-13 208 H Air Force Independent ( 8- 7, 90.0) 13- 7 214 N Denver Big East (17- 2, 98.9) 13-17 215 A Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 86.7) 16- 6 228 H Harvard Ivy ( 7- 7, 93.2) 21-14 301 H Providence Big East ( 5- 9, 88.7) 20- 8 307 H Loyola Patriot ( 7- 8, 94.0) 14- 8 314 A Georgetown Big East (10- 6, 93.8) 15-13 322 A Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 99.9) 7-19 329 A North Carolina ACC (13- 4, 98.1) 14-15 404 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 3, 99.1) 10-15 412 H Virginia ACC (10- 5, 94.9) 15- 8 415 A Stony Brook America East (13- 5, 92.7) 17-11 418 A Marquette Big East (10- 6, 92.4) 15- 8 424 N Notre Dame ACC (12- 3, 99.1) 13- 8 426 N Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 99.9) 14-15 503 H Boston U. Patriot ( 6- 8, 91.9) 13- 7 509 H Ohio State Big Ten (12- 7, 94.5) 11-16PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 A High Point 16-13 3 5 - -2.18 208 H Air Force 13- 7 6 8 - -2.02 214 N Denver 13-17 -4 -1 - -2.12 215 A Mercer 16- 6 10 9 0.65 228 H Harvard 21-14 7 4 + 2.16 301 H Providence 20- 8 12 9 0.71 307 H Loyola 14- 8 6 3 + 2.00 314 A Georgetown 15-13 2 2 -0.28 322 A Syracuse 7-19 -12 -3 --- -6.17 329 A North Carolina 14-15 -1 -2 1.01 404 H Notre Dame 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.90 412 H Virginia 15- 8 7 3 + 3.88 415 A Stony Brook 17-11 6 3 + 2.66 418 A Marquette 15- 8 7 3 + 3.30 424 N Notre Dame 13- 8 5 -2 +++ 7.07 426 N Syracuse 14-15 -1 -2 1.85 503 H Boston U. 13- 7 6 6 -0.08 509 H Ohio State 11-16 -5 3 --- -8.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Syracuse 7-19 -12 -3 --- -6.17 509 H Ohio State 11-16 -5 3 --- -8.55 207 A High Point 16-13 3 5 - -2.18 208 H Air Force 13- 7 6 8 - -2.02 214 N Denver 13-17 -4 -1 - -2.12 404 H Notre Dame 10-15 -5 -1 - -3.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 N Notre Dame 13- 8 5 -2 +++ 7.07 228 H Harvard 21-14 7 4 + 2.16 307 H Loyola 14- 8 6 3 + 2.00 412 H Virginia 15- 8 7 3 + 3.88 415 A Stony Brook 17-11 6 3 + 2.66 418 A Marquette 15- 8 7 3 + 3.30/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 97.05 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 86.82 Local SOS Rank............. 4 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 5 Championship Probability . 4.0 Championship Rank ....... 7 Local Quality Win Rating. 65.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 11.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0