Conf = North Coast Region = South State = OH Nickname = Big Red Coach = Mike CaravanaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6078949 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 221 N Washington & Lee Old Dominion (12- 7, 86.1) 5-11 225 A Roanoke Old Dominion (12- 7, 86.1) 11-13 302 A DePauw North Coast ( 6- 9, 75.8) 20- 2 308 H Sewanee Southern (11- 4, 81.1) 13- 2 311 H Albion MIAA (13- 6, 81.9) 18- 6 315 H Aurora Midwest (14- 8, 80.4) 19-10 318 N St. Mary's Capital ( 5- 8, 82.3) 14-12 321 N Montclair State Skyline (13- 6, 85.8) 12-11 328 H Wittenberg North Coast ( 9- 6, 81.1) 13- 6 331 A Hiram North Coast ( 3-10, 62.5) 15- 1 404 H Oberlin North Coast ( 8- 7, 76.5) 13- 6 412 A Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (18- 1, 89.7) 8- 9 415 A Kenyon North Coast ( 9- 7, 81.8) 17- 6 418 H Wabash North Coast ( 1-12, 61.1) 22- 1 420 H Wooster North Coast ( 9- 7, 81.4) 18- 7 422 H Wittenberg North Coast ( 9- 6, 81.1) 19- 5 425 A Ohio Wesleyan North Coast (18- 1, 89.7) 8- 9 oPREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 N Washington & Lee 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.48 225 A Roanoke 11-13 -2 0 - -2.05 302 A DePauw 20- 2 18 10 0.00 308 H Sewanee 13- 2 11 7 + 2.01 311 H Albion 18- 6 12 7 + 2.87 315 H Aurora 19-10 9 8 0.36 318 N St. Mary's 14-12 2 5 - -3.34 321 N Montclair State 12-11 1 1 -0.76 328 H Wittenberg 13- 6 7 7 -0.98 331 A Hiram 15- 1 14 23 0.00 404 H Oberlin 13- 6 7 12 - -3.00 412 A Ohio Wesleyan 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.52 415 A Kenyon 17- 6 11 4 ++ 5.62 418 H Wabash 22- 1 21 27 0.00 420 H Wooster 18- 7 11 7 + 2.33 422 H Wittenberg 19- 5 14 7 + 2.02 425 A Ohio Wesleyan 8- 9 o -1 -3 + 2.52UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 221 N Washington & Lee 5-11 -6 1 --- -7.48 225 A Roanoke 11-13 -2 0 - -2.05 318 N St. Mary's 14-12 2 5 - -3.34 404 H Oberlin 13- 6 7 12 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 A Kenyon 17- 6 11 4 ++ 5.62 308 H Sewanee 13- 2 11 7 + 2.01 311 H Albion 18- 6 12 7 + 2.87 412 A Ohio Wesleyan 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.52 420 H Wooster 18- 7 11 7 + 2.33 422 H Wittenberg 19- 5 14 7 + 2.02 425 A Ohio Wesleyan 8- 9 o -1 -3 + 2.52/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 87.61 Local Power Rank........... 16 Local SOS Rating......... 58.66 Local SOS Rank............. 59 Local RPI Rating......... 0.64 Local RPI Rank............. 15 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 63 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 23 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 14.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 13- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 12.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 10.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.0