Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = North        State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Steve Beville           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.6170502    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Union                  Liberty       (14- 5, 87.5)    13-14   
 304 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt (13- 4, 84.8)    10- 6   
 311 N RIT                    Liberty       (21- 1, 94.6)    11-12   
 314 A Western New England    CCC           (14- 6, 85.2)    11- 9   
 321 N Lynchburg              Old Dominion  (21- 3, 91.0)     8-15   
 322 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (16- 5, 90.3)     9-11   
 325 A Clarkson               Liberty       ( 7- 8, 84.8)     5- 4   
 328 H Montclair State        Skyline       (13- 6, 85.8)    17-11   
 401 H Ithaca                 Empire 8      (13- 5, 86.7)    11-10 2o
 404 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 7- 8, 83.2)    11- 8   
 408 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 80.3)    11- 9   
 411 A Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (13- 6, 86.4)    15- 9   
 415 H Nazareth               Empire 8      (15- 5, 88.3)    13-11   
 418 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 7- 8, 81.4)    18- 4   
 422 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 7- 7, 77.8)    14- 4   
 425 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 8- 7, 80.9)    10- 4   
 429 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        ( 7- 8, 81.4)    21- 5   
 502 H Plattsburgh            SUNYAC        (13- 6, 86.4)    14-12   
 506 H Springfield            NEWMAC        (11- 8, 84.5)     9- 8   
 509 H Endicott               CCC           (16- 4, 88.4)    13- 6   
 513 A RIT                    Liberty       (21- 1, 94.6)     7-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Union                  13-14      -1     0          -0.67
   304 H Albright               10- 6       4     5          -1.30
   311 N RIT                    11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.01
   314 A Western New England    11- 9       2     2          -0.00
   321 N Lynchburg               8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.57
   322 A Stevenson               9-11      -2    -3           1.09
   325 A Clarkson                5- 4       1     2          -1.37
   328 H Montclair State        17-11       6     4           1.79
   401 H Ithaca                 11-10 2o    1     3    -     -2.37
   404 H Potsdam                11- 8       3     6    -     -3.81
   408 A Geneseo                11- 9       2     6    --    -4.87
   411 A Plattsburgh            15- 9       6     0    ++     5.22
   415 H Nazareth               13-11       2     1           0.21
   418 A Oneonta                18- 4      14     5    ++     4.21
   422 H Oswego                 14- 4      10    12           0.00
   425 H Brockport              10- 4       6     9    -     -3.17
   429 H Oneonta                21- 5      16     8           1.33
   502 H Plattsburgh            14-12       2     3          -1.66
   506 H Springfield             9- 8       1     5    --    -4.58
   509 H Endicott               13- 6       7     1    ++     5.33
   513 A RIT                     7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Lynchburg               8-15      -7    -2    --    -4.57
   408 A Geneseo                11- 9       2     6    --    -4.87
   506 H Springfield             9- 8       1     5    --    -4.58
   401 H Ithaca                 11-10 2o    1     3    -     -2.37
   404 H Potsdam                11- 8       3     6    -     -3.81
   425 H Brockport              10- 4       6     9    -     -3.17
   513 A RIT                     7-18     -11    -7    -     -2.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 N RIT                    11-12      -1    -6    ++     5.01
   411 A Plattsburgh            15- 9       6     0    ++     5.22
   418 A Oneonta                18- 4      14     5    ++     4.21
   509 H Endicott               13- 6       7     1    ++     5.33
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.62 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.75 Local SOS Rank.............    10
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.69 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/