Conf = Ivy                        Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Matt Kerwick            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.9938278    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 99.9)     6-14   
 220 N Hobart                 Northeast     ( 7- 7, 89.9)    16- 8   
 224 A Binghamton             America East  ( 4- 9, 90.3)    17-10   
 228 N Albany                 America East  (16- 3, 98.6)    16- 9   
 307 A Virginia               ACC           (10- 5, 94.9)    14-15   
 314 A Yale                   Ivy           (11- 5, 95.6)    14- 7   
 317 H Colgate                Patriot       (10- 6, 94.3)    10- 9  o
 321 H Penn                   Ivy           ( 6- 7, 91.2)    10- 9 3o
 328 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 5- 8, 87.0)     8- 2   
 404 A Harvard                Ivy           ( 7- 7, 93.2)     9-10   
 407 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 86.1)    12- 6   
 411 H Hofstra                Colonial      ( 5- 9, 92.9)    14- 5   
 418 A Brown                  Ivy           (12- 5, 95.0)     6-15   
 425 H Princeton              Ivy           ( 9- 6, 94.2)    15-10   
 501 N Princeton              Ivy           ( 9- 6, 94.2)     7-11   
 509 H Albany                 America East  (16- 3, 98.6)    10-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Syracuse                6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.12
   220 N Hobart                 16- 8       8     5    +      2.94
   224 A Binghamton             17-10       7     3    +      3.24
   228 N Albany                 16- 9       7    -3    +++   10.61
   307 A Virginia               14-15      -1     0          -0.11
   314 A Yale                   14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.58
   317 H Colgate                10- 9  o    1     1          -0.67
   321 H Penn                   10- 9 3o    1     4    -     -3.76
   328 H Dartmouth               8- 2       6     8    -     -2.96
   404 A Harvard                 9-10      -1     0          -1.83
   407 H Canisius               12- 6       6     9    -     -3.85
   411 H Hofstra                14- 5       9     3    ++     5.95
   418 A Brown                   6-15      -9     0    ---   -8.04
   425 H Princeton              15-10       5     1    +      3.20
   501 N Princeton               7-11      -4     0    --    -4.82
   509 H Albany                 10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Brown                   6-15      -9     0    ---   -8.04
   509 H Albany                 10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.37
   501 N Princeton               7-11      -4     0    --    -4.82
   215 A Syracuse                6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.12
   321 H Penn                   10- 9 3o    1     4    -     -3.76
   328 H Dartmouth               8- 2       6     8    -     -2.96
   407 H Canisius               12- 6       6     9    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 N Albany                 16- 9       7    -3    +++   10.61
   314 A Yale                   14- 7       7    -1    +++    8.58
   411 H Hofstra                14- 5       9     3    ++     5.95
   220 N Hobart                 16- 8       8     5    +      2.94
   224 A Binghamton             17-10       7     3    +      3.24
   425 H Princeton              15-10       5     1    +      3.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.99 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.77 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    10
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/