Conf = Ivy Region = Northeast State = NY Nickname = Big Red Coach = Matt KerwickGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.9938278 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 215 A Syracuse ACC (13- 3, 99.9) 6-14 220 N Hobart Northeast ( 7- 7, 89.9) 16- 8 224 A Binghamton America East ( 4- 9, 90.3) 17-10 228 N Albany America East (16- 3, 98.6) 16- 9 307 A Virginia ACC (10- 5, 94.9) 14-15 314 A Yale Ivy (11- 5, 95.6) 14- 7 317 H Colgate Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 10- 9 o 321 H Penn Ivy ( 6- 7, 91.2) 10- 9 3o 328 H Dartmouth Ivy ( 5- 8, 87.0) 8- 2 404 A Harvard Ivy ( 7- 7, 93.2) 9-10 407 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 86.1) 12- 6 411 H Hofstra Colonial ( 5- 9, 92.9) 14- 5 418 A Brown Ivy (12- 5, 95.0) 6-15 425 H Princeton Ivy ( 9- 6, 94.2) 15-10 501 N Princeton Ivy ( 9- 6, 94.2) 7-11 509 H Albany America East (16- 3, 98.6) 10-19PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Syracuse 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.12 220 N Hobart 16- 8 8 5 + 2.94 224 A Binghamton 17-10 7 3 + 3.24 228 N Albany 16- 9 7 -3 +++ 10.61 307 A Virginia 14-15 -1 0 -0.11 314 A Yale 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 8.58 317 H Colgate 10- 9 o 1 1 -0.67 321 H Penn 10- 9 3o 1 4 - -3.76 328 H Dartmouth 8- 2 6 8 - -2.96 404 A Harvard 9-10 -1 0 -1.83 407 H Canisius 12- 6 6 9 - -3.85 411 H Hofstra 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.95 418 A Brown 6-15 -9 0 --- -8.04 425 H Princeton 15-10 5 1 + 3.20 501 N Princeton 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.82 509 H Albany 10-19 -9 -2 --- -6.37UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 A Brown 6-15 -9 0 --- -8.04 509 H Albany 10-19 -9 -2 --- -6.37 501 N Princeton 7-11 -4 0 -- -4.82 215 A Syracuse 6-14 -8 -5 - -2.12 321 H Penn 10- 9 3o 1 4 - -3.76 328 H Dartmouth 8- 2 6 8 - -2.96 407 H Canisius 12- 6 6 9 - -3.85OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 N Albany 16- 9 7 -3 +++ 10.61 314 A Yale 14- 7 7 -1 +++ 8.58 411 H Hofstra 14- 5 9 3 ++ 5.95 220 N Hobart 16- 8 8 5 + 2.94 224 A Binghamton 17-10 7 3 + 3.24 425 H Princeton 15-10 5 1 + 3.20/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 94.99 Local Power Rank........... 11 Local SOS Rating......... 84.77 Local SOS Rank............. 9 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 10 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 11 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.7