Conf = Patriot                    Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Raiders                Coach  = Mike Murphy             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3014679    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A Bryant                 Northeast     ( 8-10, 91.6)     9- 5   
 214 A Vermont                America East  ( 6-10, 87.9)    10- 8   
 221 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 4-10, 86.9)    12-10   
 228 A Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.6)    10- 8   
 307 H Boston U.              Patriot       ( 6- 8, 91.9)    11-18   
 314 A Fairfield              Colonial      ( 9- 6, 92.5)     9-13   
 317 A Cornell                Ivy           (10- 6, 95.0)     9-10  o
 321 H Navy                   Patriot       ( 9- 5, 93.0)     6- 7   
 328 A Loyola                 Patriot       ( 7- 8, 94.0)    11- 4   
 404 H Lehigh                 Patriot       ( 7- 9, 92.3)    12- 8   
 411 A Holy Cross             Patriot       ( 6- 7, 89.1)    14-13   
 417 A Army                   Patriot       (10- 7, 95.3)     8- 5   
 424 N Bucknell               Patriot       ( 9- 6, 91.6)    18- 5   
 426 N Army                   Patriot       (10- 7, 95.3)    11- 8   
 502 H Syracuse               ACC           (13- 3, 99.9)     7- 9   
 510 A North Carolina         ACC           (13- 4, 98.1)    12-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Bryant                  9- 5       4     1    +      2.25
   214 A Vermont                10- 8       2     5    -     -3.44
   221 H Lafayette              12-10       2     8    ---   -6.38
   228 A Bucknell               10- 8       2     1           0.25
   307 H Boston U.              11-18      -7     3    ---  -10.34
   314 A Fairfield               9-13      -4     0    --    -4.85
   317 A Cornell                 9-10  o   -1    -1           0.67
   321 H Navy                    6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.29
   328 A Loyola                 11- 4       7     0    +++    7.70
   404 H Lehigh                 12- 8       4     2           1.03
   411 A Holy Cross             14-13       1     4    -     -3.25
   417 A Army                    8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.99
   424 N Bucknell               18- 5      13     2    +++    7.27
   426 N Army                   11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.01
   502 H Syracuse                7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.62
   510 A North Carolina         12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Lafayette              12-10       2     8    ---   -6.38
   307 H Boston U.              11-18      -7     3    ---  -10.34
   314 A Fairfield               9-13      -4     0    --    -4.85
   214 A Vermont                10- 8       2     5    -     -3.44
   321 H Navy                    6- 7      -1     2    -     -3.29
   411 A Holy Cross             14-13       1     4    -     -3.25
   510 A North Carolina         12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Loyola                 11- 4       7     0    +++    7.70
   424 N Bucknell               18- 5      13     2    +++    7.27
   417 A Army                    8- 5       3    -1    ++     4.99
   426 N Army                   11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.01
   207 A Bryant                  9- 5       4     1    +      2.25
   502 H Syracuse                7- 9      -2    -4    +      2.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.30 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 83.31 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/