Conf = NESCAC Region = North State = ME Nickname = Polar Bears Coach = Jason ArchbellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 87.7223206 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Williams NESCAC ( 9- 6, 87.4) 5-16 307 A Amherst NESCAC (18- 3, 90.2) 4-20 311 A Keene State Little East (12- 5, 86.4) 13-18 314 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 8- 8, 86.2) 12- 8 318 N Stevens Empire 8 ( 9- 8, 83.9) 9-13 321 A Middlebury NESCAC (13- 6, 88.3) 7-13 325 N Plattsburgh SUNYAC (13- 6, 86.4) 6-15 328 A Trinity NESCAC ( 4-11, 84.4) 7- 8 o 401 H Bates NESCAC (11- 6, 89.8) 8-15 404 H Endicott CCC (16- 4, 88.4) 3-16 407 A Babson NEWMAC (11- 7, 81.6) 16-11 411 H Connecticut College NESCAC ( 4-11, 85.5) 12- 7 414 A Colby NESCAC ( 8- 7, 87.4) 9-13 418 H Wesleyan NESCAC ( 9- 7, 87.6) 8- 9 422 H Tufts NESCAC (21- 2, 94.9) 9-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Williams 5-16 -11 -6 - -3.86 307 A Amherst 4-20 -16 -8 -1.06 311 A Keene State 13-18 -5 -5 0.07 314 H Hamilton 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.05 318 N Stevens 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.78 321 A Middlebury 7-13 -6 -7 1.06 325 N Plattsburgh 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.33 328 A Trinity 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.11 401 H Bates 8-15 -7 -5 -1.35 404 H Endicott 3-16 -13 -4 -- -5.78 407 A Babson 16-11 5 0 ++ 5.28 411 H Connecticut College 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.30 414 A Colby 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.15 418 H Wesleyan 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.40 422 H Tufts 9-15 -6 -10 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 N Plattsburgh 6-15 -9 -3 -- -5.33 404 H Endicott 3-16 -13 -4 -- -5.78 228 A Williams 5-16 -11 -6 - -3.86 318 N Stevens 9-13 -4 -1 - -2.78OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 314 H Hamilton 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.05 411 H Connecticut College 12- 7 5 -1 +++ 6.30 407 A Babson 16-11 5 0 ++ 5.28 422 H Tufts 9-15 -6 -10 ++ 4.00 328 A Trinity 7- 8 o -1 -3 + 2.11 414 A Colby 9-13 -4 -6 + 2.15 418 H Wesleyan 8- 9 -1 -3 + 2.40/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 82.72 Local Power Rank........... 48 Local SOS Rating......... 71.22 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.50 Local RPI Rank............. 109 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 33 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 158 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 13.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 3-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -16.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7