Conf = America East               Region = Northeast    State = NY
   Nickname = Bearcats               Coach  = Scott Nelson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2544861    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 222 H Marist                 Metro Atlanti (14- 4, 92.3)     9-12   
 224 H Cornell                Ivy           (10- 6, 95.0)    10-17   
 228 H Hobart                 Northeast     ( 7- 7, 89.9)    10-11   
 308 A Delaware               Colonial      ( 5-10, 89.2)    11- 7   
 314 A UMBC                   America East  ( 5- 8, 88.9)    13- 4   
 321 H Towson                 Colonial      (12- 6, 93.2)     8- 9   
 324 A Drexel                 Colonial      ( 7- 8, 91.4)     5- 9   
 328 H Hartford               America East  ( 7- 8, 88.5)    12-13   
 404 A UMass Lowell           America East  ( 1-13, 80.6)    14- 6   
 411 H Albany                 America East  (16- 3, 98.6)    11-15   
 414 A Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 86.1)    11- 9   
 419 A Stony Brook            America East  (13- 5, 92.7)    13-14  o
 425 H Vermont                America East  ( 6-10, 87.9)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   222 H Marist                  9-12      -3    -1          -1.94
   224 H Cornell                10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.24
   228 H Hobart                 10-11      -1     1    -     -2.30
   308 A Delaware               11- 7       4     0    +      3.90
   314 A UMBC                   13- 4       9     0    +++    8.60
   321 H Towson                  8- 9      -1    -1           0.95
   324 A Drexel                  5- 9      -4    -2          -1.88
   328 H Hartford               12-13      -1     2    -     -3.69
   404 A UMass Lowell           14- 6       8     8          -0.72
   411 H Albany                 11-15      -4    -7    +      3.37
   414 A Canisius               11- 9       2     3          -1.16
   419 A Stony Brook            13-14  o   -1    -3    +      2.45
   425 H Vermont                13-14      -1     3    --    -4.35

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Vermont                13-14      -1     3    --    -4.35
   224 H Cornell                10-17      -7    -3    -     -3.24
   228 H Hobart                 10-11      -1     1    -     -2.30
   328 H Hartford               12-13      -1     2    -     -3.69

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 A UMBC                   13- 4       9     0    +++    8.60
   308 A Delaware               11- 7       4     0    +      3.90
   411 H Albany                 11-15      -4    -7    +      3.37
   419 A Stony Brook            13-14  o   -1    -3    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.25 Local Power Rank...........    40
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.87 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    53
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    16
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    56
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/