Conf = Independent Region = West State = CO Nickname = Falcons Coach = Eric SeremetGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.0069427 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Duke ACC (12- 6, 97.0) 7-13 214 H Marist Metro Atlanti (14- 4, 92.3) 6- 7 221 A Denver Big East (17- 2, 98.9) 6-16 222 H Canisius Metro Atlanti ( 3-12, 86.1) 13- 6 228 A Furman SoCon ( 4- 9, 87.9) 6- 4 307 N Vermont America East ( 6-10, 87.9) 10-11 3o 308 N VMI SoCon ( 1-14, 78.9) 12- 8 314 H Detroit Metro Atlanti ( 8- 6, 88.2) 9- 6 321 A High Point SoCon (10- 7, 90.9) 9-10 328 H Jacksonville SoCon ( 4- 8, 85.8) 18- 5 404 N Bellarmine SoCon ( 4- 8, 89.0) 11- 8 411 A Mercer SoCon ( 5- 8, 86.7) 10- 7 418 H Robert Morris Northeast ( 3-11, 88.0) 10- 9 423 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlanti ( 7- 8, 87.3) 10-12 502 H Navy Patriot ( 9- 5, 93.0) 8- 9PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Duke 7-13 -6 -8 + 2.02 214 H Marist 6- 7 -1 -1 0.31 221 A Denver 6-16 -10 -9 -0.10 222 H Canisius 13- 6 7 4 + 2.14 228 A Furman 6- 4 2 1 0.92 307 N Vermont 10-11 3o -1 2 - -3.12 308 N VMI 12- 8 4 11 --- -6.00 314 H Detroit 9- 6 3 2 0.17 321 A High Point 9-10 -1 -1 0.86 328 H Jacksonville 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.81 404 N Bellarmine 11- 8 3 0 + 2.02 411 A Mercer 10- 7 3 2 0.70 418 H Robert Morris 10- 9 1 2 -1.95 423 H Quinnipiac 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.68 502 H Navy 8- 9 -1 -2 1.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 N VMI 12- 8 4 11 --- -6.00 423 H Quinnipiac 10-12 -2 3 -- -5.68 307 N Vermont 10-11 3o -1 2 - -3.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Jacksonville 18- 5 13 5 ++ 4.81 208 A Duke 7-13 -6 -8 + 2.02 222 H Canisius 13- 6 7 4 + 2.14 404 N Bellarmine 11- 8 3 0 + 2.02/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.01 Local Power Rank........... 43 Local SOS Rating......... 75.54 Local SOS Rank............. 55 Local RPI Rating......... 0.48 Local RPI Rank............. 38 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 13 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 32 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.7