2014 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Duke ACC 17 3 1 3 1 1 1 1 3 33.00 2 Notre Dame ACC 12 6 6 1 2 3 2 4 9 5.00 3 Syracuse ACC 11 5 9 2 6 2 4 5 11 0.10 4 Maryland ACC 13 4 4 6 5 7 5 2 14 14.00 5 Denver Big East 16 3 3 10 4 5 10 3 18 7.00 6 Penn Ivy 11 4 12 7 10 4 9 8 21 0.10 7 Virginia ACC 10 6 11 4 7 9 3 9 21 1.00 8 North Carolina ACC 10 5 2 8 9 12 6 7 25 15.00 9 Loyola Patriot 15 2 5 22 3 6 14 6 26 8.00 10 Johns Hopkins Independent 11 5 8 5 8 11 8 10 29 5.00 11 Drexel Colonial 13 5 18 23 13 8 11 12 31 0.10 12 Cornell Ivy 11 5 10 15 12 10 13 11 34 2.00 13 Harvard Ivy 10 7 15 12 14 16 7 14 37 2.00 14 Albany America East 12 6 7 17 16 13 12 15 40 2.00 15 Bryant Northeast 16 5 26 53 11 20 18 13 51 0.10 16 Penn State Colonial 7 6 13 11 23 17 17 21 55 0.10 17 Yale Ivy 9 5 14 21 17 15 22 20 57 0.10 18 Hofstra Colonial 11 5 22 24 18 14 27 17 58 0.10 19 Princeton Ivy 7 6 16 13 20 18 21 22 61 1.00 20 Towson Colonial 8 7 38 25 29 22 20 26 68 0.10 21 Colgate Patriot 9 7 32 29 25 26 16 29 71 0.10 22 Air Force ECAC 11 6 24 45 24 23 29 23 75 0.10 23 Lehigh Patriot 13 5 17 38 15 29 30 18 77 0.10 24 Massachusetts Colonial 7 6 27 16 27 21 26 30 77 1.00 25 Ohio State ECAC 6 8 21 14 35 24 19 34 77 1.00 26 St. John's Big East 7 7 28 20 33 27 25 25 77 0.10 27 Villanova Big East 6 10 23 9 37 30 15 36 81 0.10 28 Fairfield ECAC 12 4 19 42 19 19 46 19 84 0.10 29 Brown Ivy 8 6 31 28 26 25 36 27 88 0.10 30 Siena Metro Atlantic 11 6 33 52 28 28 42 28 98 0.10 31 Army Patriot 9 5 20 44 22 31 47 24 102 1.00 32 Bucknell Patriot 7 8 29 35 36 37 28 39 104 1.00 33 Rutgers Big East 8 8 25 31 32 39 33 32 104 1.00 34 Saint Joseph's Northeast 11 4 30 64 21 33 56 16 105 0.10 35 Binghamton America East 7 8 41 34 39 32 41 37 110 0.10 36 Delaware Colonial 7 9 34 37 48 35 38 41 114 0.10 37 Michigan ECAC 5 11 49 26 51 38 23 54 115 0.10 38 Marquette Big East 6 10 40 18 44 41 32 43 116 0.10 39 UMBC America East 8 7 36 43 30 36 48 33 117 0.10 40 Hobart Northeast 5 10 50 46 55 42 24 53 119 0.10 41 Stony Brook America East 6 10 39 30 42 43 34 45 122 0.10 42 Bellarmine ECAC 7 5 37 57 31 34 60 31 125 0.10 43 Canisius Metro Atlantic 7 8 46 49 38 44 43 38 125 0.10 44 High Point Atlantic Sun 9 7 48 59 34 40 54 35 129 0.10 45 Robert Morris Northeast 5 9 51 50 46 47 40 42 129 0.10 46 Georgetown Big East 4 10 43 27 52 49 37 51 137 0.10 47 Marist Metro Atlantic 6 9 45 48 53 45 45 47 137 0.10 48 Navy Patriot 4 10 35 33 45 51 35 56 142 0.10 49 Quinnipiac Metro Atlantic 6 8 42 47 41 46 52 44 142 0.10 50 Dartmouth Ivy 2 10 54 19 43 53 44 49 146 0.10 51 Providence Big East 4 11 44 32 58 50 39 58 147 0.10 52 Jacksonville Atlantic Sun 4 9 53 51 50 52 55 46 153 0.10 53 Hartford America East 6 9 47 56 54 48 57 52 157 0.10 54 Mount St. Mary's Northeast 1 15 63 40 67 62 31 66 159 0.10 55 Mercer Atlantic Sun 7 7 61 67 40 57 67 40 164 0.10 56 Richmond Atlantic Sun 6 11 56 63 61 54 51 59 164 0.10 57 Boston U. Patriot 2 12 57 36 59 60 50 60 170 0.10 58 Holy Cross Patriot 3 12 59 41 62 59 49 62 170 0.10 59 Manhattan Metro Atlantic 5 10 60 55 56 56 59 57 172 0.10 60 Sacred Heart Northeast 6 9 58 62 57 55 62 55 172 0.10 61 Detroit Metro Atlantic 6 8 55 65 49 58 65 50 173 0.10 62 Vermont America East 5 8 52 61 47 61 66 48 175 0.10 63 Furman Atlantic Sun 1 12 65 39 63 63 53 64 180 0.10 64 Lafayette Patriot 2 11 62 54 60 64 61 61 186 0.10 65 Monmouth Metro Atlantic 0 13 64 58 66 66 58 67 191 0.10 66 VMI Atlantic Sun 2 12 66 60 65 65 63 65 193 0.10 67 Wagner Northeast 2 11 67 66 64 67 64 63 194 0.10