Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = CA
   Nickname = Poets                  Coach  = Brian Kelly             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.0945129    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 H Westminster            RMLC 1        (11- 7, 85.5)     9- 6   
 315 A King's                 MAC Freedom   ( 7- 8, 79.2)    13- 7   
 318 A Albright               MAC Commonwlt (13- 6, 84.9)    10-11   
 321 A Eastern                MAC Freedom   (14- 5, 84.5)     8- 7   
 322 A Cabrini                CSAC          (17- 2, 92.4)     9-15   
 325 H DePauw                 North Coast   ( 3-12, 71.5)    14- 0   
 328 H Dominican U.           WILA          ( 9- 3, 86.4)    12- 8   
 404 A Aurora                 Midwest       (16- 4, 85.7)     4- 9   
 405 A Illinois Wesleyan      Independent   ( 8- 6, 73.0)    17- 9   
 406 A Carthage               Midwest       (15- 6, 82.1)    14- 9   
 423 H Chapman                SLC 1 North   (17- 6, 86.2)     8-10   
 502 A Colorado College       SCAC          (10- 6, 83.4)    10-11  o
 504 N Adams State            WILA          ( 4- 8, 79.7)    17- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Westminster             9- 6       3     0          n/a  
   315 A King's                 13- 7       6     4           1.27
   318 A Albright               10-11      -1     0          -0.05
   321 A Eastern                 8- 7       1     0           1.52
   322 A Cabrini                 9-15      -6    -8    +      2.49
   325 H DePauw                 14- 0      14    14           0.00
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8       4     0          n/a  
   404 A Aurora                  4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.22
   405 A Illinois Wesleyan      17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00
   406 A Carthage               14- 9       5     1    +      3.18
   423 H Chapman                 8-10      -2     0          n/a  
   502 A Colorado College       10-11  o   -1     0          -1.52
   504 N Adams State            17- 8       9     5          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Westminster             9- 6   
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8   
   423 H Chapman                 8-10   
   504 N Adams State            17- 8   
   223 H Westminster             9- 6   
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8   
   423 H Chapman                 8-10   
   504 N Adams State            17- 8   
   223 H Westminster             9- 6   
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8   
   404 A Aurora                  4- 9      -5    -1    -     -3.22
   405 A Illinois Wesleyan      17- 9       8    10    -     -2.00
   423 H Chapman                 8-10   
   504 N Adams State            17- 8   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Westminster             9- 6   
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8   
   423 H Chapman                 8-10   
   504 N Adams State            17- 8   
   223 H Westminster             9- 6   
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8   
   423 H Chapman                 8-10   
   504 N Adams State            17- 8   
   223 H Westminster             9- 6   
   322 A Cabrini                 9-15      -6    -8    +      2.49
   328 H Dominican U.           12- 8   
   406 A Carthage               14- 9       5     1    +      3.18
   423 H Chapman                 8-10   
   504 N Adams State            17- 8   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.09 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.62 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   209
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    53
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/